Adrian Yanez vs Tony Kelley Pick, 6/18/2022 Predictions UFC Austin Odds

Adrian Yanez vs Tony Kelley

UFC Austin

Moody Center in Austin, TX

Saturday, June 18, 2022

Adrian Yanez will enter the Octagon against Tony Kelley at UFC Austin on Saturday, June 18, 2022. The line has Yanez at -365 while Kelley is at +280.

Adrian Yanez comes into this fight holding a mark of 15-3-0. The 28-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 70". Tony "Primetime" Kelley stands 5'9" and will fight at 135 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 8-2-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 70". Regarding significant strikes, Adrian Yanez is landing 6.35 per minute and Tony Kelley lands 5.58 significant strikes per min. Yanez lands 39% of the significant strikes he throws while Kelley is landing 47%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, Yanez absorbs 5.52 significant strikes per min while "Primetime" takes 4.43. Yanez also deflects 60% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Kelley is able to thwart 45% of the strikes thrown his way.

Regarding wrestling, Adrian Yanez is the more apt wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.80 times per 15 min. Yanez is scoring a takedown on 10% of the times he tries and thwarting 80% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Kelley is finishing his takedowns on 10% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 52% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to subbing the opposition, Yanez is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.5 finishes per 15 min while Kelley attempts 1.5 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his previous fight, Adrian Yanez faced Davey Grant and got a win for the night by split decision in round 3. Grant ended up landing 98 of 274 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Yanez walked away from this fight having landed 100 of 255 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Grant landed 98 of 273, which gave him a rate of 35%. He landed 40 of 182 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Yanez landed 39% of his significant strikes by connecting on 100 of 255. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 66 of 212 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Grant and 100% of them landed by Yanez were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Tony Kelley, he faced off with Randy Costa and wound up getting the win by way of an elbow to the head in round 2. Costa connected on 61% of his significant strikes at distance and Kelley landed 32% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Kelley landed 48% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 82 of 169. He ended up landing 26 of 93 significant strikes to the head. Costa landed 31 of 65 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 20 of 54 aimed at the head. Relating to the strikes he fired off in this contest, Costa ended up landing 32 of 66 while Kelley was 129 of 218 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Court McGee battles Jeremiah Wells. McGee walks into the cage with a record of 22-10-0. The 37-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Wells stands in at 5'9" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 10-2-1. The 35-year-old stretches 74". When it comes to grappling, Court McGee takes his opponents to the mat 1.87 times per 15 min and Jeremiah Wells takes his opponents to the mat 1.48 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, McGee lands 4.69 strikes per minute and connecting on 37% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Jeremiah Wells, who tags his opponent on 50% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 3.55 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Danny Chavez is set to battle Ricardo Ramos. Ramos steps into the Octagon with a mark of 15-4-0. The 26-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Chavez stands in at 5'8" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 11-4-1. The 35-year-old has a reach of 67". Concerning grappling, Ricardo Ramos is able to deflect 72% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedowns on 58% of the times he tries. Chavez is taking his opponents to the mat on 60% of the attempts he tries and defends against 87% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Ramos is taking 3.84 strikes/minute and he is connecting on 3.32 strikes per min. Chavez, in contrast, takes 3.84 strikes/min and deals 2.87 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Adrian Yanez (-365)

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