Alex Morono vs Matthew Semelsberger Pick, 7/30/2022 Predictions UFC 277 Odds

Alex Morono vs Matthew Semelsberger

UFC 277

American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

Saturday, July 30, 2022

Alex Morono will battle Matthew Semelsberger at UFC 277 on Saturday, July 30, 2022. The moneyline has Morono priced at +135 while Semelsberger is at -155.

Alex "The Great White" Morono walks into the cage holding a mark of 21-7-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Matthew "Semi The Jedi" Semelsberger stands in at 6'1" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 10-3-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 75". With respect to significant strikes, Alex Morono lands 5.21 per min and Matthew Semelsberger is connecting on 5.01 significant strikes per minute. Morono is landing 42% of the significant strikes he throws and Semelsberger connects on 48%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "The Great White" takes 3.93 significant strikes per minute and "Semi The Jedi" allows 4.55. Morono also stops 56% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Semelsberger is able to deflect 59% of them.

Concerning wrestling, Alex Morono is not as efficient of a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.35 times per 3 rounds. Morono is scoring a takedown on 25% of the times he tries and is stopping 53% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Semelsberger is finishing his takedown attempts on 85% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 42% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Morono is the more skilled technician by trying 0.4 subs per 3 rds while Semelsberger tries 0.3 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time he fought, Alex Morono squared up with Mickey Gall and wound up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Gall landed 69 of 149 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Morono walked away from this fight having landed 93 of 233 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Gall landed 65 of 144, giving him a percentage of 45%. He finished the fight landing 35 of 106 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Morono ended up landing 39% of his significant strikes by landing 90 of 230. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 70 of 200 to the head. 98% of the significant strikes connected on by Gall and 91% of them connected on by Morono were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Matthew Semelsberger, he faced off with AJ Fletcher and ended up winning this fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Fletcher landed 88% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Semelsberger ended up landing 52% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Semelsberger landed 48% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 40 of 82. He landed 32 of 67 significant strikes directed at the head. Fletcher connected on 34 of 64 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 21 of 49 to the head. When discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Fletcher ended up landing 87 of 124 and Semelsberger ended up connecting on 54 of 97 total strikes.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Drew Dober enters the Octagon with Rafael Alves. Dober steps into the Octagon with a record of 24-11-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and measures 5'8". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 70". Alves measures 5'8" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 20-10-0. The 31-year-old reaches 68". Regarding grappling, Drew Dober takes his opponents down 0.80 times per 15 min and Rafael Alves takes his opponents to the mat 0.40 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Dober tags his opponents 4.40 strikes/min and lands 40% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Rafael Alves, who tags the opposition on 47% of his attempted strikes and connects on 2.10 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Ihor Potieria is set to encounter Nicolae Negumereanu. Negumereanu looks to add a victory to his career record of 12-1-0. The 27-year-old weighs 205 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 78". Potieria comes in at 6'3" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 19-2-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 75". Concerning grappling, Nicolae Negumereanu deflects 62% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown attempts on 18% of his tries. Potieria is taking his opponents down on 15% of the attempts he tries and deflects 15% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, Negumereanu is taking 5.92 strikes/min and he is dishing out 3.39 per minute. Potieria, on the other hand, takes 5.70 strikes/min and is dealing 4.89 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Alex Morono (+135)

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