Aljamain Sterling vs TJ Dillashaw Pick, 10/22/2022 Predictions UFC 280 Odds

Aljamain Sterling vs TJ Dillashaw

UFC 280

Fight Island in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, October 22, 2022

Aljamain Sterling will face off against TJ Dillashaw at UFC 280 on Saturday, October 22, 2022. The moneyline has Sterling coming in at -170 while Dillashaw is at +145.

Aljamain "Funk Master" Sterling walks into the Octagon holding a record of 21-3-0. The 33-year-old weighs 135 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". TJ Dillashaw measures in at 5'6" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 18-4-0. The 36-year-old extends his reach 67". When talking about significant strikes, Aljamain Sterling connects on 4.56 per min while TJ Dillashaw is connecting on 5.26 significant strikes per minute. Sterling is landing 50% of the significant strikes he throws and Dillashaw is connecting on 41%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Funk Master" takes 2.24 significant strikes per minute and Dillashaw takes 3.27. Sterling also curbs 60% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Dillashaw stops 63% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

Concerning wrestling, Aljamain Sterling is the more effective grappler as he takes his opponents down 1.71 times per 15 min. Sterling is finishing his takedown attempts on 21% of his attempts and defending 41% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Dillashaw is taking his opponents to the canvas on 30% of his takedown attempts and is defending 86% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Sterling is less likely to go for the finish by trying 0.8 subs per 15 min while Dillashaw goes for 0.9 subs per 15 minutes.

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In his previous fight, Aljamain Sterling squared up with Petr Yan and ended up getting the victory by way of split decision in round 5. Yan landed 139 of 186 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Sterling finished this fight landing 91 of 143 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Yan ended up landing 63 of 103, which gave him a rate of 61%. He landed 32 of 71 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Sterling landed 56% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 62 of 110. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 29 of 66 pointed at the head. 73% of the significant strikes connected on by Yan and 67% of them connected on by Sterling were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for TJ Dillashaw, he went up against Cory Sandhagen and ended up getting the win by split decision in round 5. Sandhagen ended up connecting on 98% of his significant strikes at distance and Dillashaw landed 89% of his significant strikes at distance. Dillashaw landed 41% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 110 of 268. He connected on 59 of 208 significant strikes to the head. Sandhagen connected on 128 of 281 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 110 of 258 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Sandhagen was 171 of 331 and Dillashaw ended up connecting on 169 of 332 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Petr Yan enters the Octagon against Sean O'Malley. Yan steps into the cage holding a mark of 16-3-0. The 29-year-old weighs 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 67". O'Malley measures 5'11" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 15-1-0 (1 NC). The 27-year-old stretches 72". Regarding grappling, Petr Yan gets his opposition to the mat 1.48 times per 3 rds and Sean O'Malley is able to score a takedown 0.54 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Yan tags his opponents 5.45 strikes per minute and is landing 53% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Sean O'Malley, who is connecting on 62% of his attempted strikes and is connecting on 7.75 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Mateusz Gamrot is set to enter the Octagon with Beneil Dariush. Dariush comes into this bout with a mark of 21-4-1. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and measures 5'10". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 72". Gamrot comes in at 5'10" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 21-1-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old has an arm span of 70". Concerning grappling, Beneil Dariush prevents 81% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown attempts on 34% of his attempts. Gamrot is taking his opponents down on 35% of the tries he takes and is able to thwart 90% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, Dariush takes 2.58 strikes per min and he connects on 3.80 strikes/minute. Gamrot, notwithstanding, is absorbing 3.19 strikes/minute and is landing 3.54 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take TJ Dillashaw (+145)

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