Amir Albazi vs Alessandro Costa Pick, 12/17/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 66 Odds

Amir Albazi vs Alessandro Costa

UFC Vegas 66

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, December 17, 2022

Amir Albazi will face off with Alessandro Costa at UFC Vegas 66 on Saturday, December 17, 2022. The opening odds have Albazi priced at -425 while Costa is priced at +340.

Amir "The Prince" Albazi has a mark of 15-1-0. The 29-year-old weighs 125 lbs and comes in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 68". Alessandro "Nono" Costa stands 5'4" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 11-2-0. The 26-year-old extends his reach 67". Regarding significant strikes, Amir Albazi is connecting on 3.79 per min while Alessandro Costa connects on 3.00 significant strikes per minute. Albazi is connecting on 42% of the significant strikes he throws while Costa is landing 34%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "The Prince" absorbs 3.01 significant strikes per minute and "Nono" absorbs 3.27. Albazi also deflects 55% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Costa is able to stop 68% of the strikes thrown his way.

In the grappling category, Amir Albazi is the better grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 3.09 times per 3 rounds. Albazi is getting his opponent to the mat on 62% of his attempts and thwarting 66% of the takedowns his opponents try. Costa is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 85% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Albazi is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 1.2 finishes per 15 minutes while Costa goes for 0.7 finishes per 3 rds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Amir Albazi faced Francisco Figueiredo and ended up getting the win by way of rear naked choke in round 1. Figueiredo ended up landing 14 of 18 total strikes that he let go. Albazi ended the night having landed 23 of 29 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Figueiredo ended up landing 11 of 15, which gave him a rate of 73%. He finished the fight landing 2 of 3 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Albazi ended up landing 66% of his significant strikes by connecting on 12 of 18. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 10 of 16 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Figueiredo and 25% of them landed by Albazi were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Alessandro Costa, he faced off with Juan Andres Luna and wound up getting the victory via split decision in round 3. Luna connected on 100% of his significant strikes at distance while Costa ended up connecting on 95% of his significant strikes at distance. Costa ended up landing 34% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 45 of 131. He connected on 20 of 93 significant strikes aimed at the head. Luna ended up connecting on 49 of 155 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 27 of 118 to the head. Relating to total strikes attempted in that contest, Luna connected on 53 of 163 while Costa connected on 53 of 140 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Alex Caceres fights Julian Erosa. Caceres holds a mark of 19-13-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 73". Erosa stands in at 6'1" and weighs 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his record of 28-10-0. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 74". In the grappling category, Alex Caceres gets a takedown 0.58 times per 15 minutes and Julian Erosa takes his opponents to the mat 1.73 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Caceres connects on 4.15 strikes per min and connects on 51% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Julian Erosa, who lands 48% of the strikes he has attempted and lands an average of 6.26 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Bobby Green is set to square up in the Octagon against Drew Dober. Dober looks to add a victory to his career total of 25-11-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 70". Green measures in at 5'10" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 29-13-1. The 36-year-old has a wingspan of 71". Concerning grappling, Drew Dober is able to thwart 54% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 17% of the times he tries. Green is finishing his takedown tries on 38% of the attempts he tries and is able to deflect 72% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Dober is taking 4.16 strikes per min while he connects on 4.47 strikes/minute. Green, moreover, is absorbing 3.65 strikes/min and is connecting on 5.88 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Amir Albazi (-425)

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