Andrei Arlovski vs Jake Collier Pick, 4/30/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 53 Odds

Andrei Arlovski vs Jake Collier

UFC Vegas 53

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, April 30, 2022

Andrei Arlovski will face off with Jake Collier at UFC Vegas 53 on Saturday, April 30, 2022. The line has Arlovski priced at -142 while Collier is coming in at +116.

Andrei "The Pitbull" Arlovski holds a career record of 33-20-0 (2 NC). The 43-year-old weighs 240 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 77". Jake "The Prototype" Collier stands 6'3" and weighs 230 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 13-6-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 78". With respect to significant strikes, Andrei Arlovski lands 3.72 per min and Jake Collier is connecting on 5.59 significant strikes per min. Arlovski connects on 44% of the significant strikes he attempts and Collier lands 42%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "The Pitbull" allows 3.09 significant strikes per minute while "The Prototype" allows 4.43. Arlovski also thwarts 57% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Collier thwarts 52% of the shots thrown.

Concerning grappling, Andrei Arlovski is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.42 times per 15 minutes. Arlovski is scoring a takedown on 36% of the times he tries and thwarting 78% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Collier is finishing his takedowns on 26% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarting 67% of the attempts against him. When it comes to going for the sub, Arlovski is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by going for 0.2 submissions per 15 minutes while Collier looks to get 0.5 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Andrei Arlovski fought Jared Vanderaa and ended up winning this fight via split decision in round 3. Vanderaa ended up landing 102 of 190 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Arlovski ended the night having landed 71 of 140 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Vanderaa landed 70 of 156, which gave him a rate of 44%. He landed 30 of 110 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Arlovski landed 48% of his significant strikes by landing 64 of 133. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 40 of 100 to the head. 78% of the significant strikes landed by Vanderaa and 93% of them connected on by Arlovski were done at distance.

In the last bout for Jake Collier, he faced off with Chase Sherman and took home the win by rear naked choke in round 1. Sherman ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Collier ended up landing 60% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Collier ended up landing 40% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 20 of 49. He landed 18 of 46 significant strikes to the head. Sherman landed 10 of 17 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 8 of 15 aimed at the head. When discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Sherman ended up landing 10 of 17 while Collier connected on 20 of 50 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Andre Fili battles Joanderson Brito. Fili will be looking to add a win to his career total of 21-8-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 74". Brito stands in at 5'8" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 12-3-1. The 27-year-old extends his reach 72". In terms of takedowns, Andre Fili takes his opponents down 2.50 times per 15 minutes and Joanderson Brito takes his opponents down 2.98 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Fili connects on 3.80 strikes per minute and connects on 36% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Joanderson Brito, who connects on 47% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 3.33 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Grant Dawson is set to square up with Jared Gordon. Gordon looks to add a win to his career total of 18-4-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 68". Dawson comes in at 5'10" and weighs 155 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 17-1-1. The 28-year-old stretches 72". When it comes to takedowns, Jared Gordon curbs 50% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 39% of his attempts. Dawson is taking his opponents down on 32% of his tries and prevents 40% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Gordon takes 3.12 strikes/min and he is dealing 5.22 per minute. Dawson, at the same time, takes 2.05 strikes per min and is connecting on 3.06 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Jake Collier (+116)

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