Brian Ortega vs Yair Rodriguez Pick, 7/16/2022 Predictions UFC Long Island Odds

Brian Ortega vs Yair Rodriguez

UFC Long Island

UBS Arena in Elmont, New York

Saturday, July 16, 2022

Brian Ortega will battle Yair Rodriguez at UFC Long Island on Saturday, July 16, 2022. The opening moneyline has Ortega at -155 while Rodriguez is priced at +135.

Brian "T-City" Ortega holds a career mark of 15-2-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and measures 5'8". The switch fighter has an arm span of 69". Yair "El Pantera" Rodriguez measures 5'11" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 14-3-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old reaches 71". In terms of significant strikes, Brian Ortega lands 4.15 per minute while Yair Rodriguez lands 4.65 significant strikes per min. Ortega is connecting on 38% of the significant strikes he throws and Rodriguez is connecting on 45%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "T-City" allows 6.69 significant strikes per minute while "El Pantera" absorbs 4.09. Ortega also prevents 49% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Rodriguez thwarts 53% of the shots thrown his way.

In terms of takedowns, Brian Ortega is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.87 times per 15 min. Ortega is getting his opponent to the mat on 24% of the times he tries and thwarting 56% of the attempts against him. Rodriguez is taking his opponents down on 28% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 60% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of going for the submission, Ortega is the more capable of the two fighters by going for 1.2 submissions per 3 rounds while Rodriguez goes for 0.8 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his last fight, Brian Ortega squared up with Alexander Volkanovski and walked away with a loss by unanimous decision in round 5. Volkanovski ended up landing 229 of 377 total strikes that he let go. Ortega finished this fight landing 101 of 250 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Volkanovski landed 214 of 353, which gave him a percentage of 60%. He finished the fight landing 146 of 270 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Ortega ended up landing 37% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 88 of 234. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 59 of 193 aimed at the head. 73% of the significant strikes landed by Volkanovski and 93% of them connected on by Ortega were done at distance.

In the last fight for Yair Rodriguez, he faced off with Max Holloway and walked away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Holloway ended up connecting on 81% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Rodriguez connected on 95% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Rodriguez ended up connecting on 45% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 159 of 352. He connected on 78 of 247 significant strikes to the head. Holloway connected on 230 of 404 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 129 of 278 to the head. When discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Holloway was 251 of 434 while Rodriguez landed 186 of 383 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Li Jingliang fights Muslim Salikhov. Jingliang walks into the Octagon with a record of 18-7-0. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Salikhov stands 5'11" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 18-2-0. The 38-year-old reaches 70". Regarding grappling, Li Jingliang gets a takedown 1.25 times per 15 min while Muslim Salikhov is able to score a takedown 1.12 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Jingliang connects on 4.42 strikes per minute and connecting on 42% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Muslim Salikhov, who lands 48% of his attempted strikes and connects on 3.13 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Su Mudaerji is set to battle Matt Schnell. Schnell steps into the Octagon with a record of 15-6-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 70". Mudaerji comes in at 5'8" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a career mark of 16-4-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 72". In terms of grappling, Matt Schnell is preventing 50% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 33% of the times he tries. Mudaerji is taking his opponents to the mat on 85% of his attempts and is able to curb 77% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Schnell is taking 4.23 strikes/minute while he is dealing 4.26 strikes/min. Mudaerji, moreover, absorbs 2.19 strikes per min and is dealing 4.49 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Brian Ortega (-155)

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