Felice Herrig vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz Pick, 6/4/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 56 Odds

Felice Herrig vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz

UFC Vegas 56

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, June 4, 2022

Felice Herrig will enter the Octagon against Karolina Kowalkiewicz at UFC Vegas 56 on Saturday, June 4, 2022. The opening line has Herrig coming in at -125 while Kowalkiewicz is at +105.

Felice "Lil Bulldog" Herrig has a mark of 14-9-0. The 37-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Karolina Kowalkiewicz measures 5'3" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her record of 12-7-0. The 36-year-old extends her reach 64". In the category of significant strikes, Felice Herrig is landing 3.63 per min and Karolina Kowalkiewicz connects on 5.16 significant strikes per minute. Herrig connects on 36% of the significant strikes she tries and Kowalkiewicz is connecting on 39%. In terms of defending themselves, "Lil Bulldog" takes 4.84 significant strikes per min and Kowalkiewicz takes 5.56. Herrig also deflects 49% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Kowalkiewicz is able to curb 56% of the shots thrown.

Concerning takedowns, Felice Herrig is the more productive wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 1.18 times per 15 minutes. Herrig is getting her opponent to the mat on 30% of the times she tries and thwarting 72% of the takedowns her opponents try. Kowalkiewicz is getting her opponent to the mat on 22% of the takedowns she tries and is stuffing 74% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Herrig is the more skilled fighter by going for 0.9 subs per 15 minutes while Kowalkiewicz goes for 0.1 subs per 15 min.

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The last time she stepped into the Octagon, Felice Herrig squared up with Virna Jandiroba and took a loss on the night by an armbar from the mount position in round 1. Jandiroba landed 12 of 15 total strikes that she let go. Herrig finished this fight landing 3 of 3 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Jandiroba ended up landing 4 of 5, which gave her a rate of 80%. She finished the fight landing 4 of 5 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Herrig ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 1 of 1. Of those significant strikes, she was 1 of 1 to the head. 0% of the significant strikes landed by Jandiroba and 100% of them connected on by Herrig were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Karolina Kowalkiewicz, she faced off with Jessica Penne and took a loss on the night via an armbar from the mount position in round 1. Penne connected on 33% of the significant strikes she took from distance and Kowalkiewicz landed 50% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Kowalkiewicz landed 66% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 8 of 12. She ended up landing 3 of 7 significant strikes directed at the head. Penne ended up connecting on 12 of 19 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she connected on 9 of 16 to the head. In relation to total strikes that she let go, Penne was 21 of 30 and Kowalkiewicz connected on 28 of 36 of the strikes she threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Erin Blanchfield squares up against JJ Aldrich. Blanchfield steps into the cage with a record of 8-1-0. The 23-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 66". Aldrich stands 5'5" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a record of 11-4-0. The 29-year-old stretches 67". Regarding grappling, Erin Blanchfield is able to score a takedown 5.00 times per 3 rounds while JJ Aldrich takes her opponents to the canvas 0.73 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Blanchfield lands an average of 5.53 strikes per min and is connecting on 59% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side of the cage we have JJ Aldrich, who is landing 45% of the strikes she has thrown and is landing 4.04 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Jairzinho Rozenstruik is set to enter the Octagon against Alexander Volkov. Volkov holds a mark of 34-10-0. The 33-year-old weighs 250 lbs and measures 6'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 80". Rozenstruik measures 6'2" and weighs 242 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 12-3-0. The 34-year-old has a wingspan of 78". Regarding wrestling, Alexander Volkov curbs 71% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 70% of his attempts. Rozenstruik is finishing his takedown tries on 10% of the attempts he tries and is able to defend against 75% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Volkov absorbs 3.04 strikes per min while he is landing 4.83 strikes per minute. Rozenstruik, moreover, takes 3.07 strikes/minute and is dishing out 2.80 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Karolina Kowalkiewicz (+105)

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