Israel Adesanya vs Alex Pereira Pick, 11/12/2022 Predictions UFC 281 Odds

by Tony Sink - 11/8/2022

ufc picks Alex Pereira predictions best bet odds

Israel Adesanya vs Alex Pereira

UFC 281

Madison Square Garden in NYC

Saturday, November 12, 2022

Israel Adesanya will take on Alex Pereira at UFC 281 on Saturday, November 12, 2022. The odds have Adesanya priced at -182 while Pereira is at +157.

Israel "The Last Stylebender" Adesanya steps into the cage with a mark of 23-1-0. The 33-year-old weighs 185 lbs and measures in at 6'4". The switch fighter reaches 80". Alex "Poatan" Pereira measures 6'4" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 6-1-0. The 35-year-old reaches 79". With respect to significant strikes, Israel Adesanya lands 3.93 per min while Alex Pereira is landing 6.29 significant strikes per minute. Adesanya lands 49% of the significant strikes he tries while Pereira is landing 60%. In terms of defending themselves, "The Last Stylebender" absorbs 2.67 significant strikes per min and "Poatan" allows 3.36. Adesanya also stops 59% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Pereira is able to defend against 58% of the shots thrown his way.

UFC 281	Israel Adesanya	Alex Pereira
Opening Odds	-182	+157
Record	23-1-0	6-1-0
Average Fight Time	18:09	7:38
Height	6'4"	6'4"
Weight	185 lbs	185 lbs
Reach	80"	79"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.93	6.29
Striking Accuracy	49%	60%

Concerning grappling, Israel Adesanya is the more effective wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.40 times per 15 minutes. Adesanya is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his attempts and stopping 78% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Pereira is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his takedown tries and is stopping 73% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Adesanya is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by attempting 0.2 finishes per 3 rds while Pereira goes for 0.5 finishes per 15 min.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Israel Adesanya squared up with Jared Cannonier and ended up winning this fight via unanimous decision in round 5. Cannonier landed 141 of 217 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Adesanya ended the night having landed 163 of 277 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Cannonier landed 90 of 157, which means his percentage was 57%. He landed 36 of 89 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Adesanya ended up landing 50% of his significant strikes by landing 116 of 230. Of those significant strikes, he landed 60 of 165 aimed at the head. 86% of the significant strikes connected on by Cannonier and 98% of them connected on by Adesanya were thrown at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Alex Pereira, he faced off with Sean Strickland and ended up getting the victory by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Strickland landed 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Pereira landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Pereira connected on 62% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 25 of 40. He ended up landing 5 of 15 significant strikes to the head. Strickland connected on 15 of 29 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 9 of 20 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes thrown in that contest, Strickland ended up connecting on 15 of 29 while Pereira ended up landing 25 of 40 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Dustin Poirier meets Michael Chandler. Poirier comes into this bout holding a record of 28-7-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 72". Chandler comes in at 5'8" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 23-7-0. The 36-year-old reaches 71". When it comes to grappling, Dustin Poirier takes his opponents to the canvas 1.44 times per 15 min while Michael Chandler is able to score a takedown 1.83 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Poirier tags his opponents 5.61 strikes per minute and connecting on 50% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Michael Chandler, who is landing 46% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 5.17 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Chris Gutierrez is set to enter the Octagon with Frankie Edgar. Edgar comes into this bout holding a record of 23-10-1. The 41-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 68". Gutierrez measures 5'9" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 18-3-2. The 31-year-old extends his reach 67". When it comes to takedowns, Frankie Edgar is able to curb 65% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown attempts on 31% of the times he tries. Gutierrez is taking his opponents down on 37% of the attempts he tries and is able to defend against 73% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Edgar absorbs 2.81 strikes per min while he lands 3.79 strikes per minute. Gutierrez, on the other hand, is taking 2.61 strikes per min and connects on 4.69 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Israel Adesanya (-182)

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Israel Adesanya vs Alex Pereira Pick, 11/12/2022 Predictions UFC 281 Odds

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