Jai Herbert vs Ilia Topuria Pick, 3/19/2022 Predictions UFC London Odds

Jai Herbert vs Ilia Topuria

UFC London

O2 Arena in London, UK

Saturday, March 19, 2022

Jai Herbert will enter the Octagon with Ilia Topuria at UFC London on Saturday, March 19, 2022. The opening moneyline has Herbert at +350 while Topuria is priced at -475.

Jai "Black Country Banger" Herbert has a record of 11-3-0. The 33-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 77". Ilia "El Matador" Topuria comes in at 5'7" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 11-0-0. The 25-year-old stretches 69". With respect to significant strikes, Jai Herbert is connecting on 2.18 per minute and Ilia Topuria lands 2.77 significant strikes per minute. Herbert connects on 36% of the significant strikes he attempts and Topuria connects on 48%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Black Country Banger" takes 2.81 significant strikes per minute while "El Matador" allows 1.92. Herbert also thwarts 44% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Topuria curbs 64% of the shots thrown.

Regarding grappling, Jai Herbert is not as efficient of a wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.80 times per 15 minutes. Herbert is finishing his takedown attempts on 10% of the times he tries and thwarting 30% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Topuria is finishing his takedown tries on 55% of the takedowns he tries and defending 80% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Herbert is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.7 finishes per 3 rounds while Topuria attempts 3.4 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his last fight, Jai Herbert went up against Khama Worthy and ended up winning this fight by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Worthy landed 11 of 21 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Herbert finished this fight landing 25 of 47 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Worthy ended up landing 11 of 21, giving him a percentage of 52%. He landed 5 of 13 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Herbert landed 52% of his significant strikes by landing 24 of 46. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 21 of 40 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Worthy and 79% of them connected on by Herbert were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Ilia Topuria, he faced off with Ryan Hall and wound up taking home the victory via a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Hall ended up connecting on 90% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Topuria ended up landing 16% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Topuria connected on 56% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 18 of 32. He ended up landing 11 of 24 significant strikes directed at the head. Hall ended up landing 10 of 17 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 2 of 7 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Hall connected on 13 of 21 while Topuria was 18 of 32 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Jack Shore battles Timur Valiev. Shore has a career record of 15-0-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Valiev measures in at 5'6" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 18-2-0. The 32-year-old reaches 67". Regarding grappling, Jack Shore gets his opposition to the mat 4.47 times per 15 minutes and Timur Valiev takes his opponents to the canvas 1.62 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Shore connects on 4.03 strikes/minute and landing 58% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Timur Valiev, who lands 55% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 5.35 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Makwan Amirkhani is set to fight Mike Grundy. Grundy comes into this bout with a record of 12-3-0. The 35-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Amirkhani measures in at 5'10" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 16-7-0. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 72". Concerning wrestling, Mike Grundy curbs 50% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 26% of the times he tries. Amirkhani is finishing his takedowns on 43% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 57% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Grundy absorbs 4.56 strikes per minute and he deals 2.14 per minute. Amirkhani, at the same time, takes 2.43 strikes/minute and is dealing 1.37 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Jai Herbert (+350)

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