Jake Matthews vs Matthew Semelsberger Pick, 12/17/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 66 Odds

by Tony Sink - 12/14/2022

ufc picks Matthew Semelsberger predictions best bet odds

Jake Matthews vs Matthew Semelsberger

UFC Vegas 66

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, December 17, 2022

Jake Matthews will face off against Matthew Semelsberger at UFC Vegas 66 on Saturday, December 17, 2022. The opening odds have Matthews at -255 while Semelsberger is priced at +215.

Jake "The Celtic Kid" Matthews looks to add a victory to his total of 18-5-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 73". Matthew "Semi The Jedi" Semelsberger stands 6'1" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The switch fighter has a mark of 10-4-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 75". Concerning significant strikes, Jake Matthews is landing 3.17 per min and Matthew Semelsberger is connecting on 4.99 significant strikes per minute. Matthews is connecting on 45% of the significant strikes he throws while Semelsberger is landing 43%. In terms of defending themselves, "The Celtic Kid" takes 2.18 significant strikes per min and "Semi The Jedi" allows 5.17. Matthews also prevents 61% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Semelsberger defends against 55% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

UFC Vegas 66	Jake Matthews	Matthew Semelsberger
Opening Odds	-255	+215
Record	18-5-0	10-4-0
Average Fight Time	11:10	10:05
Height	5'11"	6'1"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	73"	75"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.17	4.99
Striking Accuracy	45%	43%

Concerning grappling, Jake Matthews is the more efficient grappler as he is able to score a takedown 1.85 times per 15 min. Matthews is taking his opponents to the canvas on 41% of his tries and is stopping 66% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Semelsberger is finishing his takedown attempts on 85% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 63% of the attempts against him. When it comes to going for the sub, Matthews is the more capable of the two fighters by attempting 0.6 finishes per 15 minutes while Semelsberger tries 0.2 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his previous bout, Jake Matthews squared up with Andre Fialho and ended up getting the win by a punch to the head in round 2. Fialho ended up landing 19 of 52 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Matthews ended the night having landed 47 of 89 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Fialho landed 18 of 51, giving him a percentage of 35%. He landed 13 of 44 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Matthews ended up landing 52% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 47 of 89. Of those significant strikes, he was 35 of 75 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Fialho and 93% of them landed by Matthews were done at distance.

In the last bout for Matthew Semelsberger, he faced off with Alex Morono and was on the losing end of this fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Morono ended up landing 92% of his significant strikes at distance and Semelsberger ended up connecting on 81% of his significant strikes at distance. Semelsberger ended up landing 32% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 74 of 229. He landed 32 of 170 significant strikes directed at the head. Morono landed 106 of 194 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 92 of 179 aimed at the head. Regarding the total strikes thrown in this fight, Morono ended up connecting on 119 of 209 while Semelsberger landed 86 of 241 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Julian Marquez takes on Deron Winn. Marquez has a career record of 9-3-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Winn measures in at 5'6" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 7-3-0. The 33-year-old has a reach of 70". In the grappling category, Julian Marquez is averaging a takedown 0.50 times per 15 min while Deron Winn gets a takedown 4.28 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Marquez lands an average of 4.18 strikes per minute and is landing 43% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Deron Winn, who lands 44% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 4.55 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Saidyokub Kakhramonov is set to square up in the Octagon with Said Nurmagomedov. Nurmagomedov will be looking to add a win to his career total of 16-2-0. The 30-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 70". Kakhramonov stands in at 5'8" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 10-2-0. The 27-year-old extends his reach 69". When it comes to takedowns, Said Nurmagomedov is preventing 70% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents down on 10% of his tries. Kakhramonov is finishing his takedowns on 52% of his tries and prevents 80% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Nurmagomedov is absorbing 2.20 strikes per minute while he is connecting on 4.15 per minute. Kakhramonov, moreover, is absorbing 0.91 strikes per minute and connects on 2.29 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Jake Matthews (-255)

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Jake Matthews vs Matthew Semelsberger Pick, 12/17/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 66 Odds

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