Ji Yeon Kim vs Mariya Agapova Pick, 7/30/2022 Predictions UFC 277 Odds

by Tony Sink - 7/26/2022

ufc picks Mariya Agapova predictions best bet odds

Ji Yeon Kim vs Mariya Agapova

UFC 277

American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

Saturday, July 30, 2022

Ji Yeon Kim will face off against Mariya Agapova at UFC 277 on Saturday, July 30, 2022. The opening moneyline has Kim coming in at +175 while Agapova is coming in at -225.

Ji "Firefist" Yeon Kim steps into the Octagon with a mark of 9-5-2. The 32-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Mariya "Demonslayer" Agapova measures 5'6" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a record of 10-3-0. The 25-year-old extends her reach 68". In the category of significant strikes, Ji Yeon Kim is connecting on 5.86 per minute and Mariya Agapova connects on 4.56 significant strikes per min. Yeon Kim connects on 36% of the significant strikes she attempts while Agapova lands 53%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Firefist" takes 5.64 significant strikes per min and "Demonslayer" takes 4.37. Yeon Kim also stops 56% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt and Agapova prevents 51% of the shots thrown.

UFC 277	Ji Yeon Kim	Mariya Agapova
Opening Odds	+175	-225
Record	9-5-2	10-3-0
Average Fight Time	14:22	8:44
Height	5'7"	5'6"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	72"	68"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.86	4.56
Striking Accuracy	36%	53%

In the grappling category, Ji Yeon Kim is not as effective of a grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 0.30 times per 3 rds. Yeon Kim is getting her opponent to the mat on 15% of her tries and is stuffing 36% of all takedown attempts. Agapova is taking her opponents to the canvas on 66% of the takedowns she attempts and is stuffing 42% of the attempts against her. Regarding submissions, Yeon Kim is less likely to go for the finish by trying 0.5 finishes per 3 rds while Agapova tries 0.7 finishes per 15 minutes.

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The last time she fought, Ji Yeon Kim faced Priscila Cachoeira and walked away with a loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Cachoeira ended up landing 102 of 218 total strikes attempted in that contest. Kim walked away from this fight having landed 171 of 376 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Cachoeira landed 102 of 218, which gave her a percentage of 46%. She ended up landing 78 of 185 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Kim landed 45% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 170 of 375. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she connected on 151 of 351 aimed at the head. 89% of the significant strikes connected on by Cachoeira and 98% of them connected on by Kim were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Mariya Agapova, she squared up with Maryna Moroz and ended up taking the loss via an arm triangle from half guard in round 2. Moroz ended up landing 7% of the significant strikes she took from distance while Agapova ended up connecting on 25% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Agapova ended up connecting on 59% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 16 of 27. She ended up landing 7 of 15 significant strikes to the head. Moroz ended up landing 28 of 42 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she ended up connecting on 21 of 33 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that she let go in that fight, Moroz was 51 of 74 while Agapova was 72 of 86 of the strikes she threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Brandon Moreno squares up with Kai Kara-France. Moreno looks to add a win to his record of 19-6-2. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Kara-France measures in at 5'4" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 24-9-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old reaches 69". In the grappling category, Brandon Moreno takes his opponents to the mat 1.84 times per 3 rds while Kai Kara-France scores a takedown 0.43 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Moreno tags his opponents 3.54 strikes per min and landing 39% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Kai Kara-France, who is landing 40% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 4.84 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Sergei Pavlovich is set to battle Derrick Lewis. Lewis has a mark of 26-9-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old is fighting at 260 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 79". Pavlovich stands 6'3" and records a weight of 257 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 15-1-0. The 30-year-old stretches 84". Regarding wrestling, Derrick Lewis is able to deflect 55% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents to the mat on 28% of the times he tries. Pavlovich is taking his opponents down on 15% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 66% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Lewis is absorbing 2.51 strikes per min and he connects on 2.56 per min. Pavlovich, moreover, absorbs 4.45 strikes/minute and is dishing out 6.08 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Mariya Agapova (-225)

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Ji Yeon Kim vs Mariya Agapova Pick, 7/30/2022 Predictions UFC 277 Odds

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