Joseph Holmes vs Alen Amedovski Pick, 5/21/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 55 Odds

Joseph Holmes vs Alen Amedovski

UFC Vegas 55

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, May 21, 2022

Joseph Holmes will face off with Alen Amedovski at UFC Vegas 55 on Saturday, May 21, 2022. The opening odds have Holmes priced at -200 while Amedovski is coming in at +170.

Joseph "Uglyman Joe" Holmes comes into this bout with a mark of 7-2-0. The 26-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 80". Alen Amedovski stands 5'10" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 8-2-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 74". When talking about significant strikes, Joseph Holmes lands 2.77 per minute while Alen Amedovski is landing 0.52 significant strikes per minute. Holmes connects on 48% of the significant strikes he attempts while Amedovski is connecting on 28%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Uglyman Joe" absorbs 2.99 significant strikes per min and Amedovski allows 3.14. Holmes also defends against 59% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Amedovski is able to thwart 37% of the strikes thrown his way.

When it comes to grappling, Joseph Holmes is the more competent wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.32 times per 15 min. Holmes is finishing his takedown attempts on 28% of the times he tries and stopping 60% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Amedovski is taking his opponents to the mat on 10% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 10% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Holmes is the more skilled fighter by attempting 0.7 submissions per 15 minutes while Amedovski attempts 0.3 submissions per 15 min.

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In his last bout, Joseph Holmes squared up with Jamie Pickett and ended up losing the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Pickett landed 54 of 126 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Holmes ended the night having landed 59 of 101 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Pickett landed 50 of 122, which gave him a rate of 40%. He finished the fight landing 22 of 86 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Holmes ended up landing 54% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 51 of 93. Out of those significant strikes, he was 30 of 65 to the head. 80% of the significant strikes connected on by Pickett and 80% of them landed by Holmes were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Alen Amedovski, he faced off with John Phillips and was defeated by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Phillips landed 60% of his significant strikes at distance while Amedovski connected on 80% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Amedovski ended up landing 18% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 2 of 11. He landed 2 of 11 significant strikes to the head. Phillips ended up landing 5 of 8 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 4 of 7 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go, Phillips ended up connecting on 5 of 8 and Amedovski ended up landing 2 of 11 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Jailton Almeida squares up against Parker Porter. Almeida has a record of 15-2-0. The 30-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 79". Porter comes in at 6'0" and records a weight of 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 13-6-0. The 37-year-old has a reach of 75". In terms of takedowns, Jailton Almeida takes his opponents to the mat 7.68 times per 3 rds while Parker Porter gets a takedown 1.57 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Almeida lands an average of 3.28 strikes/min and is connecting on 54% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Parker Porter, who is connecting on 49% of the strikes he has thrown and is connecting on 7.01 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Uros Medic is set to enter the Octagon against Omar Morales. Morales holds a record of 11-2-0. The 36-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 73". Medic stands 6'1" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 7-1-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 71". Concerning wrestling, Omar Morales prevents 63% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown tries on 80% of the times he tries. Medic is finishing his takedown tries on 10% of his attempts and thwarts 66% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Morales is absorbing 2.83 strikes per minute and he connects on 3.40 strikes per min. Medic, on the other side, is absorbing 3.42 strikes/min and is dealing 10.53 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Alen Amedovski (+170)

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