Khamzat Chimaev vs Nate Diaz Pick, 9/10/2022 Predictions UFC 279 Odds

Khamzat Chimaev vs Nate Diaz

UFC 279

T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, NV

Saturday, September 10, 2022

Khamzat Chimaev will enter the Octagon with Nate Diaz at UFC 279 on Saturday, September 10, 2022. The moneyline has Chimaev priced at -1100 while Diaz is priced at +700.

Khamzat "Borz" Chimaev has a career mark of 11-0-0. The 28-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Nate Diaz measures in at 6'0" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 21-13-0. The 37-year-old has a wingspan of 76". In terms of significant strikes, Khamzat Chimaev is landing 7.89 per minute while Nate Diaz is connecting on 4.51 significant strikes per minute. Chimaev lands 59% of the significant strikes he throws while Diaz lands 45%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Borz" allows 4.30 significant strikes per minute while Diaz takes 3.73. Chimaev also thwarts 41% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Diaz stops 52% of the shots thrown.

In terms of wrestling, Khamzat Chimaev is the more effective grappler as he scores a takedown 3.23 times per 3 rounds. Chimaev is taking his opponents to the canvas on 66% of his tries and defending 85% of the takedowns his opponents try. Diaz is scoring a takedown on 30% of his takedown attempts and is defending 41% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to submissions, Chimaev is the more skilled of the two fighters by attempting 2.7 submissions per 3 rounds while Diaz goes for 1.3 submissions per 3 rounds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Khamzat Chimaev faced Gilbert Burns and wound up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Burns ended up landing 141 of 223 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Chimaev ended the night having landed 124 of 239 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Burns landed 119 of 200, which means his percentage was 59%. He ended up landing 89 of 166 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Chimaev ended up landing 48% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 108 of 223. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 84 of 191 to the head. 83% of the significant strikes landed by Burns and 80% of them landed by Chimaev were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Nate Diaz, he faced off with Leon Edwards and walked away with a loss by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Edwards ended up landing 88% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Diaz ended up connecting on 86% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Diaz ended up landing 46% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 76 of 162. He connected on 52 of 129 significant strikes to the head. Edwards ended up landing 77 of 132 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 48 of 97 directed at the head. In relation to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Edwards ended up connecting on 83 of 139 while Diaz was 130 of 223 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Li Jingliang squares up against Tony Ferguson. Jingliang looks to add a win to his career record of 19-7-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Ferguson stands 5'11" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 26-7-0. The 38-year-old has a wingspan of 76". In the grappling category, Li Jingliang takes his opponents down 1.27 times per 15 min and Tony Ferguson takes his opponents down 0.41 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Jingliang lands an average of 4.39 strikes/min and connects on 42% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Tony Ferguson, who is connecting on 45% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 5.12 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Daniel Rodriguez is set to enter the Octagon with Kevin Holland. Holland comes into this fight with a mark of 23-7-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 81". Rodriguez measures 6'1" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a record of 16-2-0. The 35-year-old has a reach of 74". In the category of takedowns, Kevin Holland curbs 50% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents to the mat on 43% of his attempts. Rodriguez is taking his opponents down on 55% of his tries and is able to thwart 76% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Holland takes 2.41 strikes per minute and he is landing 3.90 per minute. Rodriguez, moreover, is taking 5.38 strikes/minute and is connecting on 8.06 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Khamzat Chimaev (-1100)

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