Magomed Ankalaev vs Anthony Smith Pick, 7/30/2022 Predictions UFC 277 Odds

Magomed Ankalaev vs Anthony Smith

UFC 277

American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

Saturday, July 30, 2022

Magomed Ankalaev will take on Anthony Smith at UFC 277 on Saturday, July 30, 2022. The opener has Ankalaev priced at -490 while Smith is coming in at +390.

Magomed Ankalaev looks to add a win to his career total of 17-1-0. The 30-year-old weighs 205 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 75". Anthony "Lionheart" Smith stands 6'4" and weighs 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 36-16-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 76". In terms of significant strikes, Magomed Ankalaev is landing 3.49 per minute and Anthony Smith is landing 3.03 significant strikes per minute. Ankalaev lands 54% of the significant strikes he attempts and Smith connects on 47%. When it comes to defending in the cage, Ankalaev absorbs 2.13 significant strikes per min and "Lionheart" allows 4.31. Ankalaev also thwarts 61% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Smith is able to deflect 42% of the strikes thrown his way.

Concerning takedowns, Magomed Ankalaev is the more apt grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.01 times per 15 minutes. Ankalaev is getting his opponent to the mat on 33% of his tries and is stopping 85% of all takedowns attempted on him. Smith is taking his opponents down on 28% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 48% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of subbing opponents, Ankalaev is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.6 finishes per 3 rounds while Smith goes for 0.8 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Magomed Ankalaev fought Thiago Santos and ended up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Santos landed 81 of 160 total strikes attempted in that fight. Ankalaev finished this fight landing 114 of 191 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Santos landed 60 of 138, giving him a percentage of 43%. He ended up landing 14 of 75 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Ankalaev ended up landing 50% of his significant strikes by connecting on 78 of 155. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 33 of 94 pointed at the head. 95% of the significant strikes connected on by Santos and 82% of them connected on by Ankalaev were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Anthony Smith, he fought Ryan Spann and ended up getting the win by rear naked choke in round 1. Spann ended up connecting on 75% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Smith landed 64% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Smith connected on 60% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 17 of 28. He ended up connecting on 11 of 21 significant strikes directed at the head. Spann connected on 8 of 20 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 5 of 17 to the head. Relating to total strikes thrown, Spann ended up landing 8 of 20 and Smith landed 18 of 29 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Alex Morono takes on Matthew Semelsberger. Morono walks into the cage holding a mark of 21-7-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Semelsberger stands in at 6'1" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 10-3-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 75". In the grappling category, Alex Morono scores a takedown 0.35 times per 3 rds and Matthew Semelsberger takes his opponents to the mat 0.99 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Morono lands an average of 5.21 strikes/min and is landing 42% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Matthew Semelsberger, who is landing 48% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 5.01 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Rafael Alves is set to battle Drew Dober. Dober steps into the Octagon with a record of 24-11-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and measures 5'8". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 70". Alves measures 5'8" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 20-10-0. The 31-year-old reaches 68". Concerning grappling, Drew Dober is thwarting 53% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the mat on 17% of his tries. Alves is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his attempts and is able to thwart 60% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Dober takes 4.23 strikes/minute and he dishes out 4.40 strikes/minute. Alves, on the contrary, is absorbing 3.56 strikes/minute and is dealing 2.10 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Anthony Smith (+390)

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