Mario Bautista vs Benito Lopez Pick, 11/5/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 64 Odds

Mario Bautista vs Benito Lopez

UFC Vegas 64

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, November 5, 2022

Mario Bautista will take on Benito Lopez at UFC Vegas 64 on Saturday, November 5, 2022. The moneyline has Bautista coming in at -225 while Lopez is coming in at +190.

Mario Bautista Bautista steps into the cage with a record of 10-2-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and stands 5'9". The switch fighter has a reach of 69". Benito "Golden Boy" Lopez stands in at 5'10" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 10-1-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 73". In terms of significant strikes, Mario Bautista is landing 5.27 per minute and Benito Lopez connects on 4.49 significant strikes per minute. Bautista connects on 48% of the significant strikes he tries and Lopez is landing 44%. Regarding defense, Bautista allows 3.96 significant strikes per minute and "Golden Boy" allows 4.80. Bautista also curbs 56% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Lopez is able to thwart 58% of them.

In the grappling category, Mario Bautista is the better wrestler as he gets a takedown 2.17 times per 3 rds. Bautista is taking his opponents to the canvas on 63% of the times he tries and is stopping 66% of the takedowns his opponents try. Lopez is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his takedown attempts and stopping 78% of the attempts against him. Regarding submission attempts, Bautista is the more skilled technician by attempting 0.5 submissions per 15 min while Lopez tries 0.3 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his last fight, Mario Bautista went up against Brian Kelleher and got a win for the night via rear naked choke in round 1. Kelleher ended up landing 2 of 3 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Bautista finished this fight landing 6 of 17 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Kelleher landed 2 of 3, giving him a percentage of 66%. He ended up landing 1 of 2 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Bautista landed 35% of his significant strikes by landing 6 of 17. Of all the significant strikes, he was 3 of 14 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Kelleher and 66% of them connected on by Bautista were thrown at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Benito Lopez, he fought Vince Morales and wound up taking home the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Morales landed 87% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Lopez ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Lopez connected on 40% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 54 of 132. He ended up landing 6 of 55 significant strikes to the head. Morales landed 64 of 147 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 46 of 122 to the head. Regarding total strikes thrown, Morales connected on 67 of 150 while Lopez ended up landing 54 of 132 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Liudvik Sholinian takes on Johnny Munoz. Sholinian will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 9-3-1. The 32-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Munoz comes in at 5'9" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 11-2-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 71". In terms of takedowns, Liudvik Sholinian is averaging a takedown 0.80 times per 3 rounds while Johnny Munoz scores a takedown 2.53 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Sholinian tags his opponents 1.27 strikes per minute and landing 20% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Johnny Munoz, who tags the opposition on 41% of his attempted strikes and is landing 2.74 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Jake Hadley is set to face off with Carlos Candelario. Candelario looks to add a win to his record of 8-2-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 68". Hadley measures in at 5'7" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 8-1-0. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 70". When it comes to takedowns, Carlos Candelario is able to defend against 53% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the mat on 33% of his tries. Hadley is taking his opponents to the mat on 85% of the attempts he tries and prevents 42% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, Candelario is taking 4.04 strikes per min and he deals 3.11 strikes per min. Hadley, on the contrary, is absorbing 1.73 strikes per minute and lands 1.47 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Mario Bautista (-225)

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