Matt Frevola vs Ottman Azaitar Pick, 11/12/2022 Predictions UFC 281 Odds
Matt Frevola vs Ottman Azaitar
UFC 281
Madison Square Garden in NYC
Saturday, November 12, 2022
Matt Frevola will enter the Octagon with Ottman Azaitar at UFC 281 on Saturday, November 12, 2022. The moneyline has Frevola coming in at -111 while Azaitar is coming in at -109.
Matt "The SteamRolla" Frevola looks to add a win to his career record of 9-3-1. The 32-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Ottman "Bulldozer" Azaitar comes in at 5'8" and weighs 155 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 13-0-0. The 32-year-old reaches 71". In terms of significant strikes, Matt Frevola connects on 3.43 per min while Ottman Azaitar is landing 8.43 significant strikes per minute. Frevola is landing 41% of the significant strikes he attempts and Azaitar connects on 57%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The SteamRolla" absorbs 3.47 significant strikes per min while "Bulldozer" takes 1.76. Frevola also stops 59% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Azaitar is able to deflect 67% of the strikes thrown his way.
UFC 281 | Matt Frevola | Ottman Azaitar |
---|---|---|
Opening Odds | -111 | -109 |
Record | 9-3-1 | 13-0-0 |
Average Fight Time | 9:07 | 2:33 |
Height | 5'9" | 5'8" |
Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
Reach | 71" | 71" |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.43 | 8.43 |
Striking Accuracy | 41% | 57% |
Concerning takedowns, Matt Frevola is the more efficient wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 2.47 times per 15 min. Frevola is scoring a takedown on 37% of his tries and stopping 42% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Azaitar is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his takedown tries and thwarting 85% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Frevola is the more apt fighter by trying 1.0 sub per 15 min while Azaitar attempts 0.4 finishes per 15 minutes.
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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Matt Frevola fought Genaro Valdez and wound up taking home the victory via a punch to the head in round 1. Valdez ended up landing 10 of 38 total strikes attempted in that contest. Frevola ended the night having landed 71 of 114 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Valdez ended up landing 10 of 38, which gave him a percentage of 26%. He ended up landing 9 of 36 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Frevola ended up landing 59% of his significant strikes by connecting on 60 of 101. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 56 of 93 to the head. 70% of the significant strikes connected on by Valdez and 18% of them landed by Frevola were thrown at a distance.
In the last fight for Ottman Azaitar, he squared up with Khama Worthy and ended up winning this fight via a punch to the head in round 1. Worthy ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Azaitar landed 18% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Azaitar landed 72% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 16 of 22. He ended up landing 12 of 18 significant strikes directed at the head. Worthy ended up landing 1 of 9 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 0 of 5 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that contest, Worthy was 1 of 9 while Azaitar ended up connecting on 16 of 22 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other fights on the card to keep an eye on
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Michael Trizano squares up against SeungWoo Choi. Trizano has a career record of 10-3-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Choi measures 6'0" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 10-5-0. The 30-year-old reaches 74". In the grappling category, Michael Trizano gets a takedown 0.38 times per 3 rounds while SeungWoo Choi takes his opponents to the mat 0.90 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Trizano is connecting on 3.45 strikes per min and landing 52% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is SeungWoo Choi, who is landing 37% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 3.32 per min.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Montel Jackson is set to square up against Julio Arce. Arce walks into the Octagon holding a record of 18-5-0. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter stretches 70". Jackson comes in at 5'10" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his total of 11-2-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 75". Regarding takedowns, Julio Arce thwarts 94% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown tries on 27% of his tries. Jackson is finishing his takedown tries on 78% of the attempts he tries and thwarts 68% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Arce absorbs 3.08 strikes/minute and he is landing 4.74 strikes per min. Jackson, in contrast, absorbs 1.34 strikes per minute and connects on 3.42 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take Ottman Azaitar (-109)
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