Matt Schnell vs Su Mudaerji Pick, 7/16/2022 Predictions UFC Long Island Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/12/2022

Matt Schnell vs Su Mudaerji

UFC Long Island

UBS Arena in Elmont, New York

Saturday, July 16, 2022

Matt Schnell will face off against Su Mudaerji at UFC Long Island on Saturday, July 16, 2022. The moneyline has Schnell coming in at +200 while Mudaerji is coming in at -240.

Matt "Danger" Schnell steps into the Octagon with a record of 15-6-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 70". Su "The Tibetan Eagle" Mudaerji comes in at 5'8" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a career mark of 16-4-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 72". When talking about significant strikes, Matt Schnell is connecting on 4.26 per minute while Su Mudaerji connects on 4.49 significant strikes per minute. Schnell is connecting on 38% of the significant strikes he throws while Mudaerji connects on 51%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Danger" takes 4.23 significant strikes per minute while "The Tibetan Eagle" takes 2.19. Schnell also deflects 59% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Mudaerji is able to deflect 68% of the shots thrown his way.

UFC Long Island	Matt Schnell	Su Mudaerji
Opening Odds	+200	-240
Record	15-6-0 (1 NC)	16-4-0
Average Fight Time	7:56	9:28
Height	5'8"	5'8"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	70"	72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.26	4.49
Striking Accuracy	38%	51%

Regarding takedowns, Matt Schnell is the lesser skilled wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.38 times per 3 rds. Schnell is taking his opponents to the canvas on 33% of his tries and thwarting 50% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Mudaerji is finishing his takedown tries on 85% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 77% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Schnell is the more experienced submission fighter by going for 0.9 finishes per 15 min while Mudaerji tries 0.8 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his last fight, Matt Schnell faced Brandon Royval and wound up losing the fight via guillotine choke in round 1. Royval ended up landing 14 of 39 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Schnell finished this fight landing 15 of 36 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Royval landed 14 of 39, which means his percentage was 35%. He finished the fight landing 9 of 33 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Schnell ended up landing 36% of his significant strikes by landing 12 of 33. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 9 of 29 pointed at the head. 92% of the significant strikes landed by Royval and 83% of them connected on by Schnell were thrown at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Su Mudaerji, he went up against Zarrukh Adashev and ended up getting the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Adashev connected on 85% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Mudaerji ended up landing 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Mudaerji ended up connecting on 39% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 50 of 127. He connected on 22 of 87 significant strikes directed at the head. Adashev ended up connecting on 28 of 123 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 20 of 102 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go, Adashev connected on 28 of 123 and Mudaerji was 50 of 127 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Shane Burgos squares up with Charles Jourdain. Burgos comes into this bout with a record of 14-3-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Jourdain comes in at 5'9" and weighs 145 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 13-4-1. The 26-year-old has a reach of 69". Regarding grappling, Shane Burgos gets his opposition to the mat 0.24 times per 15 min while Charles Jourdain takes his opponents down 0.12 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Burgos tags his opponents 7.95 strikes/minute and lands 52% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Charles Jourdain, who tags his opponent on 49% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 5.60 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Dalcha Lungiambula is set to square up in the Octagon with Punahele Soriano. Soriano looks to add a win to his career record of 8-2-0. The 29-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 72". Lungiambula measures 5'8" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 11-4-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 76". Regarding wrestling, Punahele Soriano stops 35% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedown tries on 66% of his attempts. Lungiambula is taking his opponents down on 50% of his tries and curbs 75% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Soriano absorbs 3.56 strikes/min and he dishes out 4.03 strikes per min. Lungiambula, on the other side, is taking 3.72 strikes/min and lands 3.30 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Matt Schnell (+200)

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Matt Schnell vs Su Mudaerji Pick, 7/16/2022 Predictions UFC Long Island Odds

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