Natan Levy vs Genaro Valdez Pick, 12/3/2022 Predictions UFC Orlando Odds

Natan Levy vs Genaro Valdez

UFC Orlando

Amway Center in Orlando, FL

Saturday, December 3, 2022

Natan Levy will enter the Octagon against Genaro Valdez at UFC Orlando on Saturday, December 3, 2022. The moneyline has Levy coming in at -180 while Valdez is coming in at +155.

Natan Levy looks to add a victory to his career total of 7-1-0. The 31-year-old weighs 155 lbs and stands 5'9". The southpaw fighter reaches 71". Genaro "Rayadito" Valdez stands 5'9" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 10-1-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 72". With respect to significant strikes, Natan Levy is landing 3.84 per min while Genaro Valdez is connecting on 5.12 significant strikes per min. Levy connects on 52% of the significant strikes he attempts and Valdez is connecting on 35%. In terms of defending in the cage, Levy absorbs 3.62 significant strikes per minute and "Rayadito" allows 12.91. Levy also prevents 54% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Valdez is able to defend against 46% of the strikes thrown his way.

In terms of grappling, Natan Levy is not as effective of a grappler as he scores a takedown 5.13 times per 15 minutes. Levy is scoring a takedown on 56% of his tries and stopping 41% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Valdez is getting his opponent to the mat on 44% of the takedowns he tries and defending 15% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Levy is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.7 subs per 3 rds while Valdez goes for 1.7 subs per 15 minutes.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Natan Levy went up against Mike Breeden and got a win for the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Breeden ended up landing 115 of 221 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Levy walked away from this fight having landed 99 of 150 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Breeden landed 104 of 210, giving him a percentage of 49%. He landed 64 of 158 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Levy landed 65% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 92 of 141. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 68 of 115 aimed at the head. 85% of the significant strikes landed by Breeden and 86% of them connected on by Levy were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Genaro Valdez, he went up against Matt Frevola and ended up taking the loss via a punch to the head in round 1. Frevola connected on 18% of his significant strikes at distance and Valdez ended up landing 70% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Valdez connected on 26% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 10 of 38. He ended up landing 9 of 36 significant strikes directed at the head. Frevola connected on 60 of 101 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 56 of 93 directed at the head. Discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Frevola ended up connecting on 71 of 114 and Valdez was 10 of 38 total strikes.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Marcelo Rojo enters the Octagon against Francis Marshall. Rojo has a mark of 16-9-0. The 34-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Marshall measures in at 5'9" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 6-0-0. The 23-year-old has a wingspan of --. In terms of takedowns, Marcelo Rojo takes his opponents down 0.57 times per 15 min while Francis Marshall takes his opponents to the canvas 6.00 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Rojo lands an average of 4.90 strikes per min and is landing 36% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Francis Marshall, who connects on 47% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 7.33 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Emily Ducote is set to square up in the Octagon with Angela Hill. Hill walks into the cage holding a record of 14-12-0. The 37-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 64". Ducote stands 5'2" and weighs 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her record of 12-6-0. The 28-year-old extends her reach 63". When it comes to takedowns, Angela Hill is thwarting 76% of her opponents takedown tries and is getting her opponent to the mat on 29% of her tries. Ducote is taking her opponents to the mat on 15% of her tries and stops 85% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Hill absorbs 4.98 strikes per min while she is dealing 5.36 strikes per min. Ducote, moreover, absorbs 4.20 strikes/minute and lands 7.73 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Genaro Valdez (+155)

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