Paddy Pimblett vs Jared Gordon Pick, 12/10/2022 Predictions UFC 282 Odds

Paddy Pimblett vs Jared Gordon

UFC 282

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 10, 2022

Paddy Pimblett will battle Jared Gordon at UFC 282 on Saturday, December 10, 2022. The line has Pimblett coming in at -230 while Gordon is priced at +195.

Paddy "The Baddy" Pimblett walks into the cage with a record of 19-3-0. The 27-year-old weighs 155 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 73". Jared "Flash" Gordon measures in at 5'9" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 19-5-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 68". When talking about significant strikes, Paddy Pimblett connects on 4.19 per minute while Jared Gordon is landing 5.53 significant strikes per min. Pimblett connects on 53% of the significant strikes he attempts and Gordon lands 58%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "The Baddy" allows 3.00 significant strikes per minute while "Flash" absorbs 3.11. Pimblett also defends 41% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Gordon is able to stop 57% of the shots thrown.

In the grappling category, Paddy Pimblett is the lesser skilled wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 1.88 times per 3 rds. Pimblett is finishing his takedown attempts on 40% of his tries and is stuffing 60% of all takedown attempts. Gordon is scoring a takedown on 39% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 58% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Pimblett is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 4.7 submissions per 3 rds while Gordon looks to get 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his last fight, Paddy Pimblett went up against Jordan Leavitt and took home the victory by way of rear naked choke in round 2. Leavitt landed 41 of 48 total strikes attempted in that fight. Pimblett finished this fight landing 30 of 53 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Leavitt landed 16 of 22, which gave him a rate of 72%. He landed 5 of 8 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Pimblett landed 43% of his significant strikes by sticking 17 of 39. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 14 of 34 to the head. 56% of the significant strikes connected on by Leavitt and 23% of them connected on by Pimblett were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Jared Gordon, he faced off with Leonardo Santos and got a win for the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Santos landed 80% of his significant strikes at distance while Gordon ended up connecting on 74% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Gordon ended up landing 66% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 116 of 174. He connected on 67 of 120 significant strikes aimed at the head. Santos ended up connecting on 36 of 81 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 21 of 60 to the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Santos ended up connecting on 41 of 86 and Gordon landed 203 of 265 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Robbie Lawler goes up against Santiago Ponzinibbio. Lawler will be looking to add a victory to his record of 29-16-0 (1 NC). The 40-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and stands 5'11". The southpaw fighter stretches 74". Ponzinibbio measures in at 6'0" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 29-6-0. The 36-year-old has a wingspan of 73". In terms of takedowns, Robbie Lawler scores a takedown 0.65 times per 15 min while Santiago Ponzinibbio takes his opponents to the canvas 0.56 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Lawler connects on 3.83 strikes per minute and lands 46% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Santiago Ponzinibbio, who is connecting on 41% of the strikes he has attempted and is connecting on 5.00 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Dricus Du Plessis is set to fight Darren Till. Till steps into the cage holding a record of 18-4-1. The 29-year-old weighs 185 lbs and measures 6'0". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 74". Du Plessis measures in at 6'1" and will fight at 185 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 17-2-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 76". In the category of takedowns, Darren Till defends against 78% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is scoring a takedown on 41% of his tries. Du Plessis is finishing his takedown tries on 18% of his attempts and is able to deflect 85% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Till is absorbing 3.02 strikes per min while he is dealing 2.26 strikes/min. Du Plessis, moreover, is taking 4.23 strikes per minute and dishes out 6.55 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Jared Gordon (+195)

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