Ricky Turcios vs Kevin Natividad Pick, 11/19/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 65 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 11/13/2022

ufc picks kevin natividad predictions best bet odds

Ricky Turcios vs Kevin Natividad

UFC Vegas 65

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, November 19, 2022

Ricky Turcios will face off with Kevin Natividad at UFC Vegas 65 on Saturday, November 19, 2022. The line has Turcios priced at -150 while Natividad is coming in at +130.

Ricky Turcios holds a career mark of 12-3-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Kevin "Quicksand" Natividad comes in at 5'6" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 9-3-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 70". With respect to significant strikes, Ricky Turcios is landing 5.27 per minute while Kevin Natividad is connecting on 2.63 significant strikes per min. Turcios is landing 34% of the significant strikes he throws while Natividad connects on 24%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Turcios allows 4.02 significant strikes per min and "Quicksand" allows 4.02. Turcios also curbs 56% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Natividad is able to defend against 54% of the strikes thrown his way.

UFC Vegas 65	Ricky Turcios	Kevin Natividad
Opening Odds	-150	+130
Record	12-3-0	9-3-0
Average Fight Time	15:00	6:51
Height	5'9"	5'6"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	71"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.27	2.63
Striking Accuracy	34%	24%

In terms of grappling, Ricky Turcios is the more capable grappler as he scores a takedown 0.67 times per 15 minutes. Turcios is scoring a takedown on 18% of his attempts and defending 45% of all takedowns attempted on him. Natividad is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 85% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of subbing the opposition, Turcios is the more skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.5 finishes per 15 minutes while Natividad goes for 0.3 finishes per 15 min.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Ricky Turcios went up against Brady Hiestand and wound up taking home the victory by split decision in round 3. Hiestand ended up landing 82 of 152 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Turcios finished this fight landing 201 of 281 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Hiestand landed 66 of 134, which means his percentage was 49%. He finished the fight landing 59 of 124 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Turcios landed 58% of his significant strikes by connecting on 100 of 171. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 83 of 150 to the head. 78% of the significant strikes connected on by Hiestand and 67% of them landed by Turcios were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Kevin Natividad, he went up against Batgerel Danaa and was on the losing end of this fight by a punch to the head in round 1. Danaa ended up landing 42% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Natividad connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Natividad connected on 37% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 3 of 8. He connected on 1 of 5 significant strikes directed at the head. Danaa ended up landing 7 of 15 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 7 of 15 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that fight, Danaa ended up landing 8 of 16 while Natividad ended up connecting on 3 of 8 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Brady Hiestand squares up in the Octagon against Fernie Garcia. Hiestand walks into the cage with a mark of 6-2-0. The 23-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 71". Garcia comes in at 5'7" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 10-2-0. The 30-year-old stretches 67". In the grappling category, Brady Hiestand is able to score a takedown 6.00 times per 15 min and Fernie Garcia scores a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Hiestand is landing 4.40 strikes/minute and is connecting on 49% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Fernie Garcia, who tags the opposition on 36% of the strikes he has thrown and lands an average of 2.85 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Maryna Moroz is set to encounter Jennifer Maia. Maia looks to add a win to her career record of 19-9-1. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands 5'4". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 64". Moroz measures in at 5'7" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 11-3-0. The 31-year-old extends her reach 67". In the category of takedowns, Jennifer Maia is preventing 55% of the takedowns her opponents try and is getting her opponent to the mat on 30% of the times she tries. Moroz is finishing her takedown tries on 22% of the attempts she tries and deflects 47% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Maia takes 4.24 strikes/minute while she is dealing 3.61 per minute. Moroz, at the same time, is absorbing 3.98 strikes/minute and connects on 4.04 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Ricky Turcios (-150)

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Ricky Turcios vs Kevin Natividad Pick, 11/19/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 65 Odds

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