Sam Alvey vs Michal Oleksiejczuk Pick, 8/6/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 59 Odds

Sam Alvey vs Michal Oleksiejczuk

UFC Vegas 59

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, August 6, 2022

Sam Alvey will face off with Michal Oleksiejczuk at UFC Vegas 59 on Saturday, August 6, 2022. The opener has Alvey at +430 while Oleksiejczuk is priced at -560.

Sam "Smile'N" Alvey walks into the Octagon with a mark of 33-17-1 (1 NC). The 36-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 75". Michal "Hussar" Oleksiejczuk stands 6'0" and tips the scales at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 16-5-0 (1 NC). The 27-year-old extends his reach 74". In terms of significant strikes, Sam Alvey is landing 3.30 per min and Michal Oleksiejczuk is connecting on 4.75 significant strikes per minute. Alvey is connecting on 44% of the significant strikes he throws while Oleksiejczuk is landing 49%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "Smile'N" takes 3.57 significant strikes per minute while "Hussar" allows 4.27. Alvey also prevents 53% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Oleksiejczuk is able to stop 64% of the shots thrown in his direction.

Regarding wrestling, Sam Alvey is the not as competent as a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.07 times per 15 minutes. Alvey is scoring a takedown on 16% of his attempts and defending 82% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Oleksiejczuk is finishing his takedowns on 42% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 47% of the attempts against him. When it comes to going for the submission, Alvey is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.1 subs per 15 minutes while Oleksiejczuk looks to get 0.5 subs per 15 minutes.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Sam Alvey squared up with Brendan Allen and took a loss on the night via rear naked choke in round 2. Allen ended up landing 36 of 54 total strikes that he let go. Alvey walked away from this fight having landed 24 of 57 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Allen ended up landing 36 of 54, which gave him a percentage of 66%. He landed 15 of 32 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Alvey ended up landing 42% of his significant strikes by connecting on 24 of 57. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 20 of 52 aimed at the head. 88% of the significant strikes landed by Allen and 100% of them landed by Alvey were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Michal Oleksiejczuk, he fought Dustin Jacoby and wound up walking away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 3. Jacoby ended up connecting on 78% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Oleksiejczuk ended up landing 95% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Oleksiejczuk connected on 39% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 69 of 173. He landed 59 of 160 significant strikes to the head. Jacoby connected on 89 of 243 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 74 of 222 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go in that contest, Jacoby landed 107 of 269 while Oleksiejczuk ended up connecting on 72 of 176 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Terrance McKinney battles Erick Gonzalez. McKinney holds a career record of 12-4-0. The 27-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The switch fighter has an arm span of 73". Gonzalez stands in at 5'11" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 14-6-0. The 30-year-old stretches 75". In terms of takedowns, Terrance McKinney takes his opponents down 4.84 times per 15 minutes and Erick Gonzalez takes his opponents to the canvas 2.87 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, McKinney lands 4.11 strikes per min and landing 59% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Erick Gonzalez, who connects on 37% of the strikes that he throws and lands 2.68 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Takashi Sato is set to go up against Bryan Battle. Battle comes into this fight with a record of 8-1-0. The 27-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 77". Sato stands in at 5'10" and will fight at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 16-5-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 73". In the category of takedowns, Bryan Battle is thwarting 55% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown attempts on 22% of his attempts. Sato is finishing his takedowns on 50% of his attempts and is able to curb 60% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Battle takes 4.58 strikes/min while he is dishing out 7.10 strikes/minute. Sato, moreover, takes 4.16 strikes per min and lands 2.28 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Michal Oleksiejczuk (-560)

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