Shamil Abdurakhimov vs Jailton Almeida Pick, 9/10/2022 Predictions UFC 279 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/6/2022

ufc picks Jailton Almeida predictions best bet odds

Shamil Abdurakhimov vs Jailton Almeida

UFC 279

T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, NV

Saturday, September 10, 2022

Shamil Abdurakhimov will face off with Jailton Almeida at UFC 279 on Saturday, September 10, 2022. The opening moneyline has Abdurakhimov at +500 while Almeida is at -660.

Shamil "Abrek" Abdurakhimov steps into the cage with a mark of 20-7-0. The 41-year-old tips the scales at 235 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 76". Jailton "Malhadinho" Almeida stands in at 6'3" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 16-2-0. The 31-year-old stretches 79". Regarding significant strikes, Shamil Abdurakhimov is connecting on 2.60 per min and Jailton Almeida connects on 3.48 significant strikes per minute. Abdurakhimov connects on 44% of the significant strikes he tries and Almeida lands 53%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Abrek" allows 2.80 significant strikes per min while "Malhadinho" takes 0.49. Abdurakhimov also prevents 58% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Almeida is able to curb 12% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

UFC 279	Shamil Abdurakhimov	Jailton Almeida
Opening Odds	+500	-660
Record	20-7-0	16-2-0
Average Fight Time	9:37	4:47
Height	6'3"	6'3"
Weight	235 lbs	205 lbs
Reach	76"	79"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.60	3.48
Striking Accuracy	44%	53%

Regarding grappling, Shamil Abdurakhimov is the not as competent as a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 1.09 times per 15 min. Abdurakhimov is taking his opponents to the canvas on 23% of his tries and is stopping 47% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Almeida is finishing his takedowns on 66% of his takedown attempts and defending 50% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to subbing opponents, Abdurakhimov is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.2 subs per 15 min while Almeida goes for 2.1 subs per 3 rds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Shamil Abdurakhimov went up against Sergei Pavlovich and walked away with a loss by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Pavlovich ended up landing 22 of 48 total strikes attempted in that fight. Abdurakhimov walked away from this fight having landed 17 of 34 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Pavlovich landed 21 of 47, giving him a percentage of 44%. He finished the fight landing 21 of 46 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Abdurakhimov ended up landing 50% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 17 of 34. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 4 of 16 to the head. 28% of the significant strikes connected on by Pavlovich and 100% of them landed by Abdurakhimov were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Jailton Almeida, he went up against Parker Porter and got a win for the night by way of rear naked choke in round 1. Porter connected on 0% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Almeida connected on 5% of his significant strikes at distance. Almeida connected on 52% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 18 of 34. He ended up connecting on 16 of 32 significant strikes to the head. Porter ended up connecting on 0 of 1 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 0 of 1 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes thrown in that contest, Porter landed 0 of 0 while Almeida connected on 36 of 58 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Denis Tiuliulin squares up with Jamie Pickett. Tiuliulin comes into this bout with a record of 10-6-0. The 34-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and stands 6'1". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 77". Pickett stands in at 6'2" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 13-7-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 80". Regarding grappling, Denis Tiuliulin takes his opponents to the canvas 0.50 times per 3 rounds and Jamie Pickett takes his opponents to the mat 1.57 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Tiuliulin is connecting on 4.45 strikes per min and connects on 37% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Jamie Pickett, who tags his opponent on 50% of the strikes he attempts and lands 2.89 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Chris Barnett is set to battle Jake Collier. Collier steps into the cage holding a record of 13-7-0. The 33-year-old records a weight of 230 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 78". Barnett stands 5'9" and weighs in at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 22-8-0. The 36-year-old has a reach of 75". Regarding wrestling, Jake Collier is thwarting 67% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents to the mat on 33% of his tries. Barnett is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his attempts and prevents 15% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Collier is absorbing 4.65 strikes/min and he is landing 5.67 per minute. Barnett, on the other hand, is absorbing 5.59 strikes/min and is dishing out 3.60 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Jailton Almeida (-660)

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Shamil Abdurakhimov vs Jailton Almeida Pick, 9/10/2022 Predictions UFC 279 Odds

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