Shayilan Nuerdanbieke vs TJ Brown Pick, 6/25/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 57 Odds

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke vs TJ Brown

UFC Vegas 57

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, June 25, 2022

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke will enter the Octagon against TJ Brown at UFC Vegas 57 on Saturday, June 25, 2022. The opening odds have Nuerdanbieke at +170 while Brown is coming in at -200.

Shayilan "Wolverine" Nuerdanbieke will be looking to add a win to his career total of 37-10-0. The 28-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". TJ "Downtown" Brown comes in at 5'9" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 16-8-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 72". With respect to significant strikes, Shayilan Nuerdanbieke is landing 1.13 per minute while TJ Brown is connecting on 3.87 significant strikes per minute. Nuerdanbieke connects on 30% of the significant strikes he throws and Brown connects on 43%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Wolverine" allows 2.93 significant strikes per minute and "Downtown" allows 2.82. Nuerdanbieke also curbs 45% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Brown is able to thwart 53% of them.

Concerning grappling, Shayilan Nuerdanbieke is not as effective of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 3.00 times per 3 rds. Nuerdanbieke is taking his opponents to the canvas on 27% of his attempts and stuffing 33% of all takedowns attempted on him. Brown is finishing his takedown attempts on 62% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 36% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Nuerdanbieke is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds while Brown attempts 1.1 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his previous fight, Shayilan Nuerdanbieke squared up with Sean Soriano and ended up getting the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Soriano ended up landing 49 of 76 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Nuerdanbieke walked away from this fight having landed 111 of 190 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Soriano landed 35 of 56, which gave him a percentage of 62%. He finished the fight landing 16 of 34 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Nuerdanbieke landed 34% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 17 of 49. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 11 of 38 aimed at the head. 85% of the significant strikes landed by Soriano and 88% of them connected on by Nuerdanbieke were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for TJ Brown, he fought Charles Rosa and ended up getting the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Rosa landed 91% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Brown landed 84% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Brown landed 58% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 58 of 99. He connected on 46 of 85 significant strikes to the head. Rosa landed 46 of 107 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 21 of 76 to the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that fight, Rosa connected on 71 of 132 while Brown ended up landing 88 of 141 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Raulian Paiva squares up with Sergey Morozov. Paiva comes into this bout with a mark of 21-4-0. The 26-year-old weighs 135 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Morozov stands 5'6" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 17-5-0. The 33-year-old has a reach of 67". In terms of takedowns, Raulian Paiva is averaging a takedown 0.58 times per 3 rounds while Sergey Morozov is able to score a takedown 3.28 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Paiva lands 4.13 strikes per minute and is connecting on 42% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Sergey Morozov, who tags the opposition on 44% of the strikes he has thrown and is landing 2.78 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Cody Durden is set to square up with JP Buys. Buys steps into the Octagon holding a record of 9-4-0. The 26-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and measures 5'5". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 67". Durden measures 5'7" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 12-4-1. The 31-year-old stretches 67". Concerning wrestling, JP Buys stops 25% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 30% of his tries. Durden is finishing his takedown tries on 38% of his tries and is able to stop 60% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Buys takes 2.46 strikes per min and he is dealing 1.76 per minute. Durden, on the other hand, is absorbing 4.06 strikes/min and is dishing out 3.44 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take TJ Brown (-200)

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