Stephen Thompson vs Kevin Holland Pick, 12/3/2022 Predictions UFC Orlando Odds

Stephen Thompson vs Kevin Holland

UFC Orlando

Amway Center in Orlando, FL

Saturday, December 3, 2022

Stephen Thompson will battle Kevin Holland at UFC Orlando on Saturday, December 3, 2022. The opening odds have Thompson coming in at +120 while Holland is coming in at -140.

Stephen "Wonderboy" Thompson looks to add a victory to his career total of 16-6-1. The 39-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Kevin "Trailblazer" Holland comes in at 6'3" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 23-8-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old stretches 81". Regarding significant strikes, Stephen Thompson lands 3.90 per minute and Kevin Holland lands 3.85 significant strikes per minute. Thompson lands 43% of the significant strikes he throws and Holland is connecting on 54%. In terms of defending themselves, "Wonderboy" absorbs 2.81 significant strikes per minute and "Trailblazer" allows 2.38. Thompson also defends 56% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Holland thwarts 55% of the shots thrown.

Concerning takedowns, Stephen Thompson is not as effective of a wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.29 times per 15 min. Thompson is getting his opponent to the mat on 41% of the times he tries and is defending 63% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Holland is taking his opponents to the mat on 43% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 50% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to going for the sub, Thompson is less apt at going for the finish by going for 0.3 subs per 3 rds while Holland tries 0.6 subs per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Stephen Thompson went up against Belal Muhammad and ended up losing the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Muhammad ended up landing 171 of 271 total strikes that he let go. Thompson ended the night having landed 51 of 67 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Muhammad landed 58 of 95, giving him a percentage of 61%. He finished the fight landing 56 of 92 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Thompson ended up landing 59% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 19 of 32. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 14 of 27 to the head. 3% of the significant strikes landed by Muhammad and 89% of them landed by Thompson were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Kevin Holland, he faced off with Khamzat Chimaev and ended up losing the fight by d'arce choke in round 1. Chimaev ended up connecting on 33% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Holland connected on 0% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Holland ended up connecting on 0% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 0 of 2. He landed 0 of 1 significant strikes aimed at the head. Chimaev landed 0 of 1 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 0 of 1 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes thrown in that contest, Chimaev ended up connecting on 1 of 2 and Holland was 0 of 1 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Bryan Barberena squares up against Rafael Dos Anjos. Barberena holds a record of 18-8-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter stretches 72". Dos Anjos stands 5'8" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 31-14-0. The 38-year-old extends his reach 70". Regarding grappling, Bryan Barberena scores a takedown 0.16 times per 15 min while Rafael Dos Anjos is averaging a takedown 1.96 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Barberena lands 6.11 strikes/minute and connects on 48% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Rafael Dos Anjos, who is landing 46% of the strikes he has attempted and lands an average of 3.58 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Matt Schnell is set to square up against Matheus Nicolau. Nicolau will be looking to add a win to his career record of 18-3-1. The 29-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 66". Schnell stands 5'8" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 16-6-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old has an arm span of 70". Regarding wrestling, Matheus Nicolau is able to deflect 93% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedowns on 42% of his tries. Schnell is finishing his takedown tries on 44% of his attempts and thwarts 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Nicolau is taking 3.09 strikes per minute and he is dealing 3.64 strikes per min. Schnell, on the contrary, takes 4.44 strikes per min and dishes out 4.34 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Stephen Thompson (+120)

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