Tai Tuivasa vs Sergei Pavlovich Pick, 12/3/2022 Predictions UFC Orlando Odds

Tai Tuivasa vs Sergei Pavlovich

UFC Orlando

Amway Center in Orlando, FL

Saturday, December 3, 2022

Tai Tuivasa will take on Sergei Pavlovich at UFC Orlando on Saturday, December 3, 2022. The moneyline has Tuivasa priced at +165 while Pavlovich is coming in at -195.

Tai "Bam Bam" Tuivasa looks to add a victory to his record of 15-4-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 264 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 75". Sergei Pavlovich measures in at 6'3" and steps on the scale at 257 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 16-1-0. The 30-year-old stretches 84". With respect to significant strikes, Tai Tuivasa connects on 4.12 per min while Sergei Pavlovich lands 6.83 significant strikes per minute. Tuivasa is landing 50% of the significant strikes he throws and Pavlovich is landing 51%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Bam Bam" absorbs 4.24 significant strikes per min while Pavlovich allows 4.44. Tuivasa also deflects 45% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Pavlovich deflects 45% of them.

In terms of wrestling, Tai Tuivasa is the lesser skilled wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rounds. Tuivasa is scoring a takedown on 15% of the times he tries and defending 52% of the takedowns his opponents try. Pavlovich is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 66% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding sub attempts, Tuivasa is the more skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.6 submissions per 3 rds while Pavlovich goes for 0.4 submissions per 3 rounds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Tai Tuivasa went up against Ciryl Gane and wound up walking away in defeat by a punch to the head in round 3. Gane landed 110 of 168 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Tuivasa ended the night having landed 29 of 89 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Gane landed 110 of 168, which gave him a rate of 65%. He ended up landing 64 of 110 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Tuivasa landed 32% of his significant strikes by connecting on 29 of 89. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 17 of 61 aimed at the head. 98% of the significant strikes connected on by Gane and 89% of them connected on by Tuivasa were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Sergei Pavlovich, he went up against Derrick Lewis and took home the win by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Lewis landed 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Pavlovich ended up landing 93% of his significant strikes at distance. Pavlovich landed 62% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 15 of 24. He ended up connecting on 15 of 24 significant strikes directed at the head. Lewis connected on 4 of 6 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 2 of 4 to the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Lewis connected on 4 of 6 and Pavlovich ended up landing 15 of 24 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Eryk Anders enters the Octagon against Kyle Daukaus. Anders will be looking to add a win to his record of 14-7-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 75". Daukaus stands 6'3" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight with a record of 11-3-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old reaches 76". In the grappling category, Eryk Anders gets a takedown 1.57 times per 3 rds and Kyle Daukaus takes his opponents to the canvas 2.36 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Anders is landing 3.26 strikes/minute and is landing 47% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Kyle Daukaus, who tags his opponent on 54% of the strikes that he throws and lands an average of 3.05 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Phil Rowe is set to battle Niko Price. Price comes into this bout holding a record of 15-5-0 (2 NC). The 33-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands 6'0". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Rowe measures in at 6'3" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 9-3-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 80". Concerning grappling, Niko Price curbs 65% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 22% of his tries. Rowe is finishing his takedowns on 33% of the attempts he tries and curbs 47% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Price takes 5.67 strikes per min and he is connecting on 5.16 per min. Rowe, moreover, is absorbing 3.94 strikes/minute and dishes out 4.30 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Sergei Pavlovich (-195)

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