Tracy Cortez vs Melissa Gatto Pick, 5/7/2022 Predictions UFC 274 Odds

Tracy Cortez vs Melissa Gatto

UFC 274

Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

Saturday, May 7, 2022

Tracy Cortez will enter the Octagon against Melissa Gatto at UFC 274 on Saturday, May 7, 2022. The opening odds have Cortez priced at -165 while Gatto is priced at +145.

Tracy Cortez looks to add a victory to her career record of 9-1-0. The 28-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Melissa Gatto comes in at 5'5" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her career total of 8-0-2. The 26-year-old extends her reach 69". Regarding significant strikes, Tracy Cortez connects on 3.85 per min and Melissa Gatto lands 4.19 significant strikes per min. Cortez is landing 55% of the significant strikes she tries and Gatto lands 56%. In terms of the fighter's defense, Cortez absorbs 2.40 significant strikes per minute while Gatto allows 2.75. Cortez also stops 59% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Gatto is able to deflect 58% of the strikes thrown her way.

In terms of takedowns, Tracy Cortez is the more skilled wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 3.00 times per 3 rounds. Cortez is scoring a takedown on 46% of her tries and is stopping 87% of all takedown attempts. Gatto is scoring a takedown on 16% of the takedowns she tries and is stuffing 85% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Cortez is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by trying 0.2 finishes per 3 rds while Gatto looks to get 0.5 finishes per 3 rds.

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In her previous bout, Tracy Cortez faced Justine Kish and wound up getting the victory via split decision in round 3. Kish ended up landing 72 of 140 total strikes attempted in that contest. Cortez ended the night having landed 84 of 138 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Kish ended up landing 55 of 119, which gave her a percentage of 46%. She ended up landing 30 of 86 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Cortez ended up landing 58% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 66 of 112. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she landed 40 of 78 pointed at the head. 90% of the significant strikes connected on by Kish and 59% of them landed by Cortez were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Melissa Gatto, she squared up with Sijara Eubanks and wound up taking home the win by way of a kick to the body in round 3. Eubanks landed 35% of the significant strikes she took from distance and Gatto connected on 76% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Gatto connected on 50% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 17 of 34. She connected on 11 of 27 significant strikes to the head. Eubanks ended up landing 14 of 45 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, she ended up connecting on 10 of 37 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that she let go in that contest, Eubanks ended up connecting on 32 of 68 while Gatto landed 64 of 91 of all the strikes she threw.

Other bouts to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Ariane Carnelossi encounters Loopy Godinez. Carnelossi walks into the cage with a record of 14-2-0. The 29-year-old will fight at 115 lbs and stands 5'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 61". Godinez stands 5'2" and will fight at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 7-2-0. The 28-year-old reaches 61". In the grappling category, Ariane Carnelossi takes her opponents to the mat 2.39 times per 15 min and Loopy Godinez takes her opponents to the mat 4.57 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Carnelossi is landing 4.21 strikes per minute and is landing 40% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Loopy Godinez, who is landing 52% of the strikes she has thrown and connects on 1.97 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Justin Gaethje is set to enter the Octagon against Charles Oliveira. Oliveira comes into this bout holding a record of 32-8-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 74". Gaethje measures 5'11" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 23-3-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 70". Concerning grappling, Charles Oliveira stops 57% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 41% of his attempts. Gaethje is taking his opponents down on 10% of the attempts he tries and is able to stop 73% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Oliveira absorbs 3.13 strikes per minute and he is dealing 3.44 per min. Gaethje, on the other side, absorbs 7.81 strikes per minute and lands 7.50 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Tracy Cortez (-165)

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