Belal Muhammad vs Gilbert Burns Pick, 5/6/2023 Predictions UFC 288 Odds

Belal Muhammad vs Gilbert Burns

UFC 288

Prudential Center in Newark, NJ

Saturday, May 6, 2023

Belal Muhammad will face off with Gilbert Burns at UFC 288 on Saturday, May 6, 2023. The opening moneyline has Muhammad coming in at +105 while Burns is priced at -125.

Belal "Remember the Name" Muhammad holds a record of 22-3-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old weighs 170 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Gilbert "Durinho" Burns comes in at 5'10" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 22-5-0. The 36-year-old has a reach of 71". In terms of significant strikes, Belal Muhammad lands 4.47 per minute and Gilbert Burns connects on 3.38 significant strikes per minute. Muhammad is connecting on 42% of the significant strikes he throws and Burns is landing 47%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Remember the Name" absorbs 3.68 significant strikes per minute and "Durinho" allows 3.13. Muhammad also prevents 58% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Burns deflects 54% of the shots thrown his way.

In terms of wrestling, Belal Muhammad is the more apt wrestler as he gets a takedown 2.19 times per 3 rds. Muhammad is scoring a takedown on 35% of the times he tries and stuffing 92% of the takedowns his opponents try. Burns is taking his opponents to the mat on 37% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 47% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to sub attempts, Muhammad is less likely to go for the finish by going for 0.2 submissions per 15 min while Burns looks to get 0.6 submissions per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Belal Muhammad fought Sean Brady and wound up getting the win via a punch to the head in round 2. Brady landed 58 of 118 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Muhammad ended the night having landed 80 of 209 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Brady landed 58 of 118, which gave him a rate of 49%. He landed 40 of 98 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Muhammad ended up landing 38% of his significant strikes by sticking 80 of 209. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 64 of 183 pointed at the head. 98% of the significant strikes connected on by Brady and 98% of them connected on by Muhammad were tallied at distance.

In the last fight for Gilbert Burns, he battled Jorge Masvidal and wound up getting the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Masvidal connected on 97% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Burns connected on 88% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Burns ended up connecting on 42% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 42 of 99. He connected on 34 of 84 significant strikes to the head. Masvidal connected on 39 of 91 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 14 of 61 to the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Masvidal landed 77 of 130 while Burns ended up landing 72 of 135 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Movsar Evloev takes on Bryce Mitchell. Evloev comes into this bout with a record of 16-0-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 72". Mitchell stands 5'10" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 15-2-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 70". Regarding grappling, Movsar Evloev is able to score a takedown 4.83 times per 3 rounds and Bryce Mitchell scores a takedown 3.26 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Evloev connects for an average of 4.36 strikes per minute and lands 46% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Bryce Mitchell, who tags the opposition on 59% of the strikes he has tried and lands 2.48 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Charles Jourdain is set to take on Kron Gracie. Gracie has a record of 5-1-0. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 70". Jourdain stands 5'9" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 13-6-1. The 27-year-old reaches 69". In the category of takedowns, Kron Gracie is able to deflect 15% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the mat on 25% of the times he tries. Jourdain is finishing his takedowns on 16% of the tries he takes and defends against 48% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Gracie takes 8.13 strikes/minute while he connects on 5.15 per min. Jourdain, on the other hand, takes 4.56 strikes per min and is dealing 5.84 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Gilbert Burns (-125)

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