Chris Duncan vs Omar Morales Pick, 3/18/2023 Predictions UFC 286 Odds

Chris Duncan vs Omar Morales

UFC 286

The O2 in London, England

Saturday, March 18, 2023

Chris Duncan will battle Omar Morales at UFC 286 on Saturday, March 18, 2023. The opening moneyline has Duncan coming in at +100 while Morales is coming in at -120.

Chris "The Problem" Duncan walks into the Octagon with a record of 9-1-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 71". Omar "Venezuelan Fighter" Morales measures 5'11" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 11-3-0. The 37-year-old stretches 73". In the category of significant strikes, Chris Duncan is connecting on 7.10 per minute and Omar Morales lands 3.47 significant strikes per min. Duncan is landing 44% of the significant strikes he tries and Morales connects on 38%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Problem" takes 7.94 significant strikes per min while "Venezuelan Fighter" takes 3.12. Duncan also stops 41% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Morales is able to curb 61% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

In terms of takedowns, Chris Duncan is the more skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 4.18 times per 3 rds. Duncan is taking his opponents to the canvas on 40% of his tries and stopping 15% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Morales is getting his opponent to the mat on 85% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 63% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of going for the sub, Duncan is the more experienced submission fighter by going for 0.7 subs per 15 min while Morales looks to get 0.5 subs per 15 min.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Chris Duncan faced Charlie Campbell and wound up getting the win by a punch to the head in round 1. Campbell ended up landing 16 of 37 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Duncan ended the night having landed 15 of 35 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Campbell ended up landing 16 of 37, which gave him a percentage of 43%. He ended up landing 8 of 28 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Duncan ended up landing 42% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 15 of 35. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 8 of 25 pointed at the head. 87% of the significant strikes landed by Campbell and 86% of them landed by Duncan were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Omar Morales, he went up against Uros Medic and walked away in defeat via a punch to the head in round 2. Medic landed 95% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Morales ended up connecting on 96% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Morales ended up landing 38% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 33 of 85. He ended up landing 18 of 64 significant strikes directed at the head. Medic landed 47 of 86 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 21 of 57 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes attempted in that fight, Medic ended up landing 47 of 86 while Morales landed 33 of 85 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Muhammad Mokaev opposes Jafel Filho. Mokaev holds a career mark of 9-0-0 (1 NC). The 22-year-old weighs 125 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Filho measures 5'7" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 14-2-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 68". When it comes to grappling, Muhammad Mokaev is averaging a takedown 8.88 times per 3 rounds and Jafel Filho takes his opponents to the mat 2.60 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Mokaev is connecting on 1.15 strikes/min and connects on 54% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Jafel Filho, who tags his opponent on 42% of the strikes he has tried and lands 2.52 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Malcolm Gordon is set to go up against Jake Hadley. Hadley steps into the Octagon holding a record of 9-1-0. The 26-year-old weighs 125 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 70". Gordon measures 5'7" and weighs 125 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 14-6-0. The 32-year-old reaches 71". In the category of takedowns, Jake Hadley prevents 37% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is scoring a takedown on 85% of the times he tries. Gordon is finishing his takedown tries on 30% of his tries and is able to defend against 9% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Hadley is taking 3.54 strikes per min and he connects on 4.02 strikes per minute. Gordon, on the other hand, absorbs 2.04 strikes/min and is dishing out 1.90 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Omar Morales (-120)

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