CJ Vergara vs Vinicius Salvador Pick, 7/29/2023 Predictions UFC 291 Odds

CJ Vergara vs Vinicius Salvador

UFC 291

Vivint Arena in Salt Lake City, UT

Saturday, July 29, 2023

CJ Vergara will battle Vinicius Salvador at UFC 291 on Saturday, July 29, 2023. The opener has Vergara priced at -160 while Salvador is at +130.

CJ Vergara steps into the cage holding a record of 11-4-1. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 68". Vinicius Salvador measures 5'7" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 14-5-0. The 27-year-old stretches 70". Regarding significant strikes, CJ Vergara is connecting on 5.63 per minute while Vinicius Salvador connects on 5.17 significant strikes per min. Vergara is connecting on 56% of the significant strikes he tries and Salvador connects on 41%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, Vergara takes 4.75 significant strikes per min while Salvador absorbs 5.29. Vergara also prevents 53% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Salvador thwarts 56% of the shots thrown his way.

Concerning takedowns, CJ Vergara is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.30 times per 15 min. Vergara is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his tries and stuffing 72% of all takedown attempts. Salvador is getting his opponent to the mat on 14% of his takedown tries and stopping 86% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding submission attempts, Vergara is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.3 finishes per 3 rounds while Salvador goes for 0.5 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last fight, CJ Vergara fought Daniel Lacerda and ended up winning this fight via an elbow to the head in round 2. Lacerda landed 51 of 120 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Vergara ended the night having landed 98 of 164 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Lacerda ended up landing 48 of 117, giving him a percentage of 41%. He finished the fight landing 32 of 94 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Vergara landed 57% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 83 of 144. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 57 of 103 to the head. 87% of the significant strikes landed by Lacerda and 40% of them connected on by Vergara were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Vinicius Salvador, he faced off with Victor Altamirano and walked away with a loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Altamirano ended up landing 87% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Salvador landed 82% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Salvador ended up landing 36% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 47 of 130. He landed 26 of 102 significant strikes to the head. Altamirano landed 62 of 118 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 28 of 69 to the head. In regard to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Altamirano ended up landing 109 of 171 while Salvador connected on 83 of 168 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Matthew Semelsberger goes up against Uros Medic. Semelsberger walks into the cage with a mark of 11-5-0. The 30-year-old weighs 170 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The switch fighter stretches 75". Medic stands 6'1" and will fight at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 8-1-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 71". In terms of takedowns, Matthew Semelsberger gets his opposition to the mat 1.16 times per 3 rds while Uros Medic takes his opponents to the canvas 0.40 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Semelsberger connects for an average of 4.05 strikes/min and lands 43% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Uros Medic, who lands 66% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 8.14 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Priscila Cachoeira is set to take on Miranda Maverick. Maverick will be looking to add a victory to her career record of 13-5-0. The 26-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'3". The southpaw fighter reaches 65". Cachoeira measures 5'7" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 12-4-0. The 34-year-old stretches 65". Regarding takedowns, Miranda Maverick thwarts 42% of her opponents takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 54% of her tries. Cachoeira is taking her opponents to the mat on 33% of the attempts she tries and is able to stop 65% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Maverick is taking 2.87 strikes/min while she is dealing 3.82 strikes per minute. Cachoeira, on the contrary, takes 7.85 strikes per minute and deals 4.68 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Vinicius Salvador (+130)

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