Cody Garbrandt vs Trevin Jones Pick, 3/4/2023 Predictions UFC 285 Odds

Cody Garbrandt vs Trevin Jones

UFC 285

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 4, 2023

Cody Garbrandt will face off with Trevin Jones at UFC 285 on Saturday, March 4, 2023. The moneyline has Garbrandt at -165 while Jones is priced at +140.

Cody "No Love" Garbrandt comes into this fight with a record of 12-5-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 65". Trevin "5 Star" Jones comes in at 5'7" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 13-9-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old has a reach of 70". Regarding significant strikes, Cody Garbrandt lands 3.16 per min while Trevin Jones connects on 2.33 significant strikes per min. Garbrandt lands 38% of the significant strikes he throws while Jones is landing 38%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "No Love" absorbs 4.22 significant strikes per min and "5 Star" takes 4.96. Garbrandt also prevents 60% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Jones is able to stop 40% of the strikes thrown his way.

When it comes to grappling, Cody Garbrandt is the more capable grappler as he is averaging a takedown 1.02 times per 3 rds. Garbrandt is taking his opponents to the canvas on 30% of his tries and is stuffing 83% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Jones is taking his opponents to the canvas on 11% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 66% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Garbrandt is the more capable fighter by going for 0.5 finishes per 3 rds while Jones attempts 0.3 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Cody Garbrandt faced Kai Kara-France and ended up walking away in defeat via a punch to the head in round 1. Kara-France landed 23 of 41 total strikes attempted in that fight. Garbrandt walked away from this fight having landed 9 of 17 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Kara-France landed 23 of 41, giving him a percentage of 56%. He landed 18 of 32 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Garbrandt landed 52% of his significant strikes by landing 9 of 17. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 4 of 10 to the head. 82% of the significant strikes landed by Kara-France and 100% of them connected on by Garbrandt were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Trevin Jones, he went up against Raoni Barcelos and wound up taking the loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Barcelos landed 53% of his significant strikes at distance while Jones ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Jones connected on 19% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 11 of 57. He connected on 5 of 47 significant strikes to the head. Barcelos connected on 73 of 119 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 51 of 95 to the head. In terms of total strikes that he threw in that fight, Barcelos ended up landing 119 of 171 while Jones connected on 15 of 61 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Derek Brunson squares up against Dricus Du Plessis. Brunson comes into this fight with a mark of 23-8-0. The 39-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and stands 6'1". The southpaw fighter stretches 77". Du Plessis measures 6'1" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 18-2-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 76". In terms of takedowns, Derek Brunson takes his opponents down 3.23 times per 3 rds and Dricus Du Plessis scores a takedown 3.18 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Brunson connects on 3.50 strikes per min and lands 47% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Dricus Du Plessis, who tags the opposition on 53% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 6.62 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Marc-Andre Barriault is set to face off with Julian Marquez. Marquez walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 9-3-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Barriault stands in at 6'1" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 14-6-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 74". In terms of grappling, Julian Marquez thwarts 53% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of the times he tries. Barriault is finishing his takedowns on 25% of the attempts he tries and is able to stop 61% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Marquez takes 3.84 strikes per min while he is landing 4.18 strikes per min. Barriault, notwithstanding, takes 4.83 strikes per minute and dishes out 5.35 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Cody Garbrandt (-165)

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