David Onama vs Gabriel Santos Pick, 6/24/2023 Predictions UFC Jacksonville Odds

David Onama vs Gabriel Santos

UFC Jacksonville

VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, FL

Saturday, June 24, 2023

David Onama will take on Gabriel Santos at UFC Jacksonville on Saturday, June 24, 2023. The opening line has Onama coming in at +200 while Santos is coming in at -250.

David Onama comes into this bout with a mark of 10-2-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 74". Gabriel "Mosquitinho" Santos stands in at 5'9" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 10-1-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 70". In the category of significant strikes, David Onama lands 5.30 per minute while Gabriel Santos is landing 4.60 significant strikes per minute. Onama is landing 45% of the significant strikes he attempts while Santos is connecting on 56%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, Onama allows 5.75 significant strikes per min and "Mosquitinho" allows 6.20. Onama also defends against 51% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Santos stops 42% of them.

Regarding wrestling, David Onama is the not as competent as a wrestler as he gets a takedown 1.06 times per 3 rounds. Onama is getting his opponent to the mat on 20% of the times he tries and is defending 45% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Santos is getting his opponent to the mat on 45% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 50% of the attempts against him. When it comes to going for the sub, Onama is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.3 submissions per 3 rds while Santos goes for 0.5 submissions per 15 min.

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In his last bout, David Onama faced Nate Landwehr and ended up losing the fight by way of majority decision in round 3. Landwehr landed 133 of 253 total strikes attempted in that fight. Onama finished this fight landing 79 of 186 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Landwehr landed 91 of 185, which gave him a percentage of 49%. He finished the fight landing 73 of 154 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Onama ended up landing 40% of his significant strikes by sticking 71 of 174. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 62 of 158 to the head. 57% of the significant strikes connected on by Landwehr and 70% of them landed by Onama were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Gabriel Santos, he faced off with Lerone Murphy and ended up walking away in defeat by way of split decision in round 3. Murphy ended up landing 82% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Santos connected on 79% of his significant strikes at distance. Santos connected on 56% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 69 of 122. He ended up landing 32 of 73 significant strikes to the head. Murphy ended up landing 93 of 161 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 59 of 117 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go, Murphy ended up connecting on 115 of 183 while Santos ended up landing 87 of 141 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Brendan Allen goes up against Bruno Silva. Allen has a record of 21-5-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 75". Silva stands in at 6'0" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 23-8-0. The 33-year-old reaches 74". In the grappling category, Brendan Allen takes his opponents to the canvas 1.27 times per 3 rds while Bruno Silva gets a takedown 0.61 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Allen tags his opponents 3.85 strikes per min and lands 53% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Bruno Silva, who is connecting on 47% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 4.47 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Phil Rowe is set to go up against Neil Magny. Magny steps into the cage holding a mark of 27-11-0. The 35-year-old weighs 170 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 80". Rowe measures 6'3" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 10-3-0. The 32-year-old has a reach of 80". Regarding wrestling, Neil Magny defends against 56% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents to the mat on 42% of his attempts. Rowe is finishing his takedowns on 37% of the attempts he tries and prevents 52% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Magny is taking 2.25 strikes per min and he deals 3.59 per min. Rowe, at the same time, absorbs 4.97 strikes per minute and deals 4.39 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take David Onama (+200)

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