Gabriel Bonfim vs Mounir Lazzez Pick, 1/21/2023 Predictions UFC 283 Odds

by Tony Sink - 1/17/2023

ufc picks Mounir Lazzez predictions best bet odds

Gabriel Bonfim vs Mounir Lazzez

UFC 283

Jeunesse Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Saturday, January 21, 2023

Gabriel Bonfim will face off against Mounir Lazzez at UFC 283 on Saturday, January 21, 2023. The opening moneyline has Bonfim coming in at -190 while Lazzez is coming in at +160.

Gabriel "Marretinha" Bonfim looks to add a victory to his career record of 13-0-0. The 25-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and stands 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 72". Mounir "The Sniper" Lazzez stands in at 6'1" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 11-2-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 76". With respect to significant strikes, Gabriel Bonfim lands 6.17 per min while Mounir Lazzez is landing 7.40 significant strikes per min. Bonfim lands 38% of the significant strikes he tries and Lazzez lands 54%. In terms of defending themselves, "Marretinha" takes 4.74 significant strikes per minute and "The Sniper" allows 5.28. Bonfim also prevents 72% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Lazzez is able to defend against 53% of the shots thrown in his direction.

UFC 283	Gabriel Bonfim	Mounir Lazzez
Opening Odds	-190	+160
Record	13-0-0	11-2-0
Average Fight Time	4:13	10:52
Height	6'1"	6'1"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	72"	76"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	6.17	7.40
Striking Accuracy	38%	54%

Concerning grappling, Gabriel Bonfim is the more efficient wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 3.56 times per 3 rds. Bonfim is finishing his takedown attempts on 85% of his tries and defending 10% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Lazzez is finishing his takedown attempts on 66% of his takedown tries and stopping 71% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to submission attempts, Bonfim is the more capable of the two fighters by trying 3.6 submissions per 15 minutes while Lazzez looks to get 0.7 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his last fight, Gabriel Bonfim faced Trey Waters and wound up taking home the win by way of a von flue choke hold in round 1. Waters landed 20 of 72 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Bonfim ended the night having landed 26 of 68 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Waters ended up landing 20 of 72, which means his percentage was 27%. He finished the fight landing 19 of 71 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Bonfim ended up landing 38% of his significant strikes by connecting on 26 of 68. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 25 of 67 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Waters and 100% of them landed by Bonfim were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Mounir Lazzez, he battled Ange Loosa and wound up getting the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Loosa ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Lazzez landed 97% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Lazzez landed 54% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 141 of 260. He ended up connecting on 98 of 208 significant strikes aimed at the head. Loosa connected on 88 of 213 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 34 of 141 to the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go, Loosa connected on 91 of 216 while Lazzez connected on 141 of 260 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Shamil Abdurakhimov fights Jailton Almeida. Abdurakhimov holds a mark of 20-7-0. The 41-year-old tips the scales at 235 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 76". Almeida stands in at 6'3" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 17-2-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 79". In the grappling category, Shamil Abdurakhimov gets a takedown 1.09 times per 15 min while Jailton Almeida takes his opponents to the canvas 7.18 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Abdurakhimov connects for an average of 2.60 strikes per minute and connecting on 44% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Jailton Almeida, who connects on 57% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 3.56 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Terrance McKinney is set to encounter Ismael Bonfim. Bonfim will be looking to add a victory to his record of 18-3-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 71". McKinney measures in at 5'10" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The switch fighter has a record of 13-4-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 73". Concerning wrestling, Ismael Bonfim is able to stop 85% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents to the mat on 33% of his tries. McKinney is taking his opponents down on 50% of the tries he takes and is able to defend against 85% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Bonfim absorbs 3.00 strikes per minute while he deals 5.67 strikes/min. McKinney, on the other hand, is absorbing 2.11 strikes/min and dishes out 4.70 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Gabriel Bonfim (-190)

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Gabriel Bonfim vs Mounir Lazzez Pick, 1/21/2023 Predictions UFC 283 Odds

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