Islam Makhachev vs Alexander Volkanovski Pick, 2/11/2023 Predictions UFC 284 Odds

Islam Makhachev vs Alexander Volkanovski

UFC 284

RAC Arena in Perth, Western Australia

Saturday, February 11, 2023

Islam Makhachev will take on Alexander Volkanovski at UFC 284 on Saturday, February 11, 2023. The line has Makhachev at -380 while Volkanovski is priced at +310.

Islam Makhachev walks into the Octagon with a mark of 23-1-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 70". Alexander "The Great" Volkanovski measures 5'6" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 25-1-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 71". Regarding significant strikes, Islam Makhachev connects on 2.37 per min while Alexander Volkanovski lands 6.79 significant strikes per minute. Makhachev lands 59% of the significant strikes he tries while Volkanovski is landing 57%. When it comes to defending in the cage, Makhachev allows 0.95 significant strikes per min and "The Great" takes 3.53. Makhachev also stops 66% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Volkanovski deflects 60% of the shots thrown in his direction.

Regarding takedowns, Islam Makhachev is the better wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 3.42 times per 15 minutes. Makhachev is scoring a takedown on 65% of the times he tries and stuffing 88% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Volkanovski is getting his opponent to the mat on 36% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 73% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Makhachev is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 1.3 subs per 15 minutes while Volkanovski attempts 0.2 subs per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Islam Makhachev squared up with Charles Oliveira and ended up getting the victory via an arm triangle in round 2. Oliveira landed 25 of 46 total strikes that he let go. Makhachev ended the night having landed 72 of 86 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Oliveira ended up landing 19 of 39, which gave him a percentage of 48%. He finished the fight landing 7 of 23 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Makhachev landed 73% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 30 of 41. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 25 of 35 pointed at the head. 52% of the significant strikes connected on by Oliveira and 70% of them connected on by Makhachev were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Alexander Volkanovski, he fought Max Holloway and took home the victory via unanimous decision in round 5. Holloway ended up connecting on 85% of his significant strikes at distance and Volkanovski connected on 87% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Volkanovski landed 53% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 199 of 372. He landed 152 of 316 significant strikes directed at the head. Holloway landed 127 of 301 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 64 of 213 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go, Holloway landed 161 of 335 and Volkanovski connected on 204 of 377 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Yair Rodriguez squares up against Josh Emmett. Rodriguez walks into the cage holding a record of 15-3-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Emmett comes in at 5'6" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 18-2-0. The 37-year-old stretches 70". Regarding grappling, Yair Rodriguez gets his opposition to the mat 0.83 times per 15 min and Josh Emmett gets a takedown 1.04 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Rodriguez connects for an average of 4.67 strikes per minute and is connecting on 45% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Josh Emmett, who tags his opponent on 37% of the strikes he has attempted and is connecting on 4.28 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Randy Brown is set to enter the Octagon with Jack Della Maddalena. Della Maddalena will be looking to add a win to his career record of 13-2-0. The 26-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The switch fighter has an arm span of 73". Brown stands 6'3" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 16-4-0. The 32-year-old stretches 78". Regarding wrestling, Jack Della Maddalena curbs 71% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is scoring a takedown on 15% of the times he tries. Brown is finishing his takedown tries on 33% of the tries he takes and is able to stop 71% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Della Maddalena takes 4.22 strikes per min while he is connecting on 8.45 strikes per minute. Brown, at the same time, is taking 3.25 strikes/minute and is dishing out 4.38 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Islam Makhachev (-380)

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