Jordan Wright vs Zac Pauga Pick, 2/18/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 69 Odds

by Tony Sink - 2/14/2023

Jordan Wright vs Zac Pauga

UFC Vegas 69

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, February 18, 2023

Jordan Wright will face off with Zac Pauga at UFC Vegas 69 on Saturday, February 18, 2023. The moneyline has Wright coming in at +230 while Pauga is at -275.

Jordan "The Beverly Hills Ninja" Wright steps into the cage holding a record of 12-4-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old records a weight of 205 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 77". Zac "The Ripper" Pauga measures 6'2" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 6-1-0. The 34-year-old has an arm span of 76". With respect to significant strikes, Jordan Wright lands 5.67 per minute and Zac Pauga is landing 5.71 significant strikes per minute. Wright connects on 65% of the significant strikes he attempts and Pauga lands 64%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "The Beverly Hills Ninja" absorbs 7.54 significant strikes per minute while "The Ripper" allows 2.14. Wright also prevents 32% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Pauga is able to stop 70% of them.

ufc picks Jordan Wright predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 69	Jordan Wright	Zac Pauga
Opening Odds	+230	-275
Record	12-4-0 (1 NC)	6-1-0
Average Fight Time	2:58	5:36
Height	6'2"	6'2"
Weight	205 lbs	205 lbs
Reach	77"	76"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.67	5.71
Striking Accuracy	65%	64%

Regarding grappling, Jordan Wright is the better wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 3.60 times per 15 minutes. Wright is scoring a takedown on 50% of his attempts and thwarting 85% of the attempts against him. Pauga is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his takedown tries and stuffing 85% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Wright is the more capable fighter by going for 0.7 submissions per 3 rds while Pauga looks to get 0.3 submissions per 15 minutes.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Jordan Wright went up against Dusko Todorovic and wound up taking the loss via an elbow to the head in round 2. Todorovic ended up landing 107 of 132 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Wright ended the night having landed 66 of 83 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Todorovic ended up landing 61 of 80, which gave him a percentage of 76%. He finished the fight landing 49 of 68 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Wright landed 60% of his significant strikes by sticking 25 of 41. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 20 of 35 pointed at the head. 31% of the significant strikes connected on by Todorovic and 28% of them landed by Wright were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Zac Pauga, he fought Mohammed Usman and was on the losing end of this fight via a punch to the head in round 2. Usman ended up connecting on 75% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Pauga landed 96% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Pauga connected on 64% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 32 of 50. He ended up connecting on 14 of 29 significant strikes aimed at the head. Usman landed 12 of 40 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 11 of 39 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that fight, Usman ended up connecting on 13 of 41 while Pauga ended up landing 33 of 51 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Josh Parisian meets Jamal Pogues. Parisian comes into this bout with a record of 15-5-0. The 33-year-old tips the scales at 265 lbs and measures in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 79". Pogues stands in at 6'3" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 9-3-0. The 27-year-old has an arm span of 77". In the grappling category, Josh Parisian takes his opponents to the mat 1.06 times per 3 rounds while Jamal Pogues takes his opponents down 3.50 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Parisian connects on 4.97 strikes per min and connecting on 52% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Jamal Pogues, who is connecting on 47% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 3.93 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Marcin Prachnio is set to enter the Octagon against William Knight. Knight walks into the cage holding a mark of 11-4-0. The 34-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 73". Prachnio measures 6'3" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 15-6-0. The 34-year-old reaches 74". In the category of takedowns, William Knight prevents 48% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedowns on 44% of his tries. Prachnio is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of the attempts he tries and prevents 53% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Knight is taking 2.99 strikes per minute while he is connecting on 2.95 strikes/min. Prachnio, moreover, is taking 4.15 strikes per min and connects on 5.84 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Jordan Wright (+230)

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Jordan Wright vs Zac Pauga Pick, 2/18/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 69 Odds

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