Joseph Holmes vs Claudio Ribeiro Pick, 5/6/2023 Predictions UFC 288 Odds

Joseph Holmes vs Claudio Ribeiro

UFC 288

Prudential Center in Newark, NJ

Saturday, May 6, 2023

Joseph Holmes will enter the Octagon against Claudio Ribeiro at UFC 288 on Saturday, May 6, 2023. The opening moneyline has Holmes priced at +155 while Ribeiro is priced at -190.

Joseph "Uglyman Joe" Holmes walks into the cage with a record of 8-3-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and stands 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 80". Claudio Ribeiro stands in at 6'1" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 10-3-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 77". With respect to significant strikes, Joseph Holmes is connecting on 3.10 per minute and Claudio Ribeiro lands 3.91 significant strikes per minute. Holmes lands 51% of the significant strikes he attempts while Ribeiro is connecting on 62%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Uglyman Joe" absorbs 2.73 significant strikes per min and Ribeiro absorbs 2.89. Holmes also deflects 58% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Ribeiro is able to curb 45% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

Concerning grappling, Joseph Holmes is the more effective wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.41 times per 15 min. Holmes is finishing his takedown attempts on 37% of his tries and is stopping 55% of all takedown tries against him. Ribeiro is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his takedown attempts and defending 85% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding submission attempts, Holmes is the more experienced submission fighter by trying 0.9 finishes per 3 rds while Ribeiro looks to get 0.4 finishes per 15 min.

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The last time he fought, Joseph Holmes squared up with JunYong Park and walked away in defeat via rear naked choke in round 2. Park ended up landing 48 of 76 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Holmes ended the night having landed 21 of 42 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Park ended up landing 18 of 33, which means his percentage was 54%. He landed 13 of 26 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Holmes landed 50% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 20 of 40. Of those significant strikes, he landed 8 of 24 aimed at the head. 77% of the significant strikes landed by Park and 95% of them landed by Holmes were thrown at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Claudio Ribeiro, he fought Abdul Razak Alhassan and wound up taking the loss by a punch to the head in round 2. Alhassan ended up landing 52% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Ribeiro landed 89% of his significant strikes at distance. Ribeiro landed 61% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 19 of 31. He connected on 6 of 18 significant strikes directed at the head. Alhassan landed 17 of 28 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 13 of 24 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that fight, Alhassan was 30 of 41 while Ribeiro connected on 42 of 54 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Daniel Santos squares up with Johnny Munoz. Santos steps into the Octagon holding a record of 11-2-0. The 28-year-old weighs 135 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Munoz measures 5'9" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 12-2-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 71". In terms of takedowns, Daniel Santos takes his opponents down 1.23 times per 3 rounds and Johnny Munoz gets a takedown 2.32 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Santos is landing 4.82 strikes per minute and connecting on 32% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Johnny Munoz, who is connecting on 37% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 3.69 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Virna Jandiroba is set to clash with Marina Rodriguez. Rodriguez has a record of 16-2-2. The 36-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 65". Jandiroba stands 5'3" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 18-3-0. The 34-year-old reaches 64". In terms of wrestling, Marina Rodriguez is able to curb 65% of her opponents takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 33% of the times she tries. Jandiroba is finishing her takedown tries on 38% of the attempts she tries and stops 73% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Rodriguez takes 3.05 strikes per minute and she is dealing 4.80 strikes per minute. Jandiroba, notwithstanding, absorbs 3.19 strikes per min and deals 2.45 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Joseph Holmes (+155)

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