Josh Culibao vs Melsik Baghdasaryan Pick, 2/11/2023 Predictions UFC 284 Odds

Josh Culibao vs Melsik Baghdasaryan

UFC 284

RAC Arena in Perth, Western Australia

Saturday, February 11, 2023

Josh Culibao will face off with Melsik Baghdasaryan at UFC 284 on Saturday, February 11, 2023. The opening moneyline has Culibao at -120 while Baghdasaryan is priced at +100.

Josh "Kuya" Culibao walks into the cage holding a record of 10-1-1. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Melsik "The Gun" Baghdasaryan comes in at 5'9" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 7-1-0. The 31-year-old reaches 70". Concerning significant strikes, Josh Culibao lands 3.06 per minute and Melsik Baghdasaryan lands 6.00 significant strikes per minute. Culibao is landing 44% of the significant strikes he throws while Baghdasaryan is connecting on 62%. In terms of defending themselves, "Kuya" absorbs 3.06 significant strikes per min while "The Gun" takes 3.48. Culibao also prevents 61% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Baghdasaryan is able to thwart 53% of the shots thrown his way.

In terms of takedowns, Josh Culibao is the more capable grappler as he scores a takedown 0.60 times per 15 min. Culibao is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of the times he tries and is stuffing 82% of all takedown attempts. Baghdasaryan is taking his opponents down on 15% of his takedown tries and stopping 76% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Culibao is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds while Baghdasaryan tries 0.5 submissions per 3 rds.

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The last time he fought, Josh Culibao fought SeungWoo Choi and got a win for the night by split decision in round 3. Choi landed 64 of 184 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Culibao ended the night having landed 69 of 132 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Choi ended up landing 46 of 163, which gave him a rate of 28%. He finished the fight landing 29 of 137 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Culibao ended up landing 45% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 51 of 111. Of those significant strikes, he was 40 of 97 to the head. 84% of the significant strikes landed by Choi and 78% of them landed by Culibao were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Melsik Baghdasaryan, he battled Bruno Souza and got a win for the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Souza ended up landing 89% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Baghdasaryan landed 90% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Baghdasaryan ended up landing 60% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 75 of 124. He ended up landing 26 of 63 significant strikes to the head. Souza ended up connecting on 46 of 103 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 27 of 70 to the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that contest, Souza connected on 47 of 104 while Baghdasaryan landed 77 of 126 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Shannon Ross goes up against Kleydson Rodrigues. Ross walks into the Octagon with a mark of 13-6-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and stands 5'6". The switch fighter stretches 66". Rodrigues measures 5'6" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 7-2-0. The 27-year-old reaches 67". In terms of takedowns, Shannon Ross scores a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rds and Kleydson Rodrigues is averaging a takedown 1.00 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Ross connects for an average of 7.15 strikes/minute and is connecting on 38% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Kleydson Rodrigues, who is connecting on 61% of the strikes he has attempted and is connecting on 5.73 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Don Shainis is set to enter the Octagon against Jack Jenkins. Jenkins holds a mark of 10-2-0. The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 68". Shainis measures 5'6" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 12-4-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 67". When it comes to takedowns, Jack Jenkins is stopping 85% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown tries on 66% of the times he tries. Shainis is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his attempts and curbs 15% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Jenkins is absorbing 1.17 strikes/min while he connects on 3.59 strikes per minute. Shainis, notwithstanding, takes 18.00 strikes per min and is dishing out 6.00 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Josh Culibao (-120)

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