Josh Emmett vs Ilia Topuria Pick, 6/24/2023 Predictions UFC Jacksonville Odds

Josh Emmett vs Ilia Topuria

UFC Jacksonville

VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, FL

Saturday, June 24, 2023

Josh Emmett will battle Ilia Topuria at UFC Jacksonville on Saturday, June 24, 2023. The moneyline has Emmett at +260 while Topuria is priced at -350.

Josh "CC0" Emmett walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 18-3-0. The 38-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 70". Ilia "El Matador" Topuria stands in at 5'7" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 13-0-0. The 26-year-old stretches 69". With respect to significant strikes, Josh Emmett lands 4.17 per minute while Ilia Topuria connects on 3.32 significant strikes per min. Emmett is landing 37% of the significant strikes he attempts while Topuria is connecting on 49%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "CC0" takes 4.43 significant strikes per minute while "El Matador" allows 2.75. Emmett also stops 62% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Topuria is able to curb 62% of the shots thrown his way.

Regarding wrestling, Josh Emmett is the lesser skilled grappler as he scores a takedown 1.07 times per 15 minutes. Emmett is scoring a takedown on 37% of his attempts and stopping 58% of all takedowns attempted on him. Topuria is taking his opponents down on 46% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 92% of the attempts against him. When it comes to sub attempts, Emmett is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.1 finishes per 15 minutes while Topuria attempts 2.5 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Josh Emmett fought Yair Rodriguez and wound up walking away in defeat by a triangle choke in round 2. Rodriguez ended up landing 98 of 143 total strikes attempted in that contest. Emmett ended the night having landed 35 of 72 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Rodriguez landed 62 of 107, which gave him a percentage of 57%. He ended up landing 36 of 76 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Emmett ended up landing 42% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 22 of 52. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 17 of 44 pointed at the head. 75% of the significant strikes connected on by Rodriguez and 59% of them landed by Emmett were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Ilia Topuria, he fought Bryce Mitchell and got a win for the night by an arm triangle in round 2. Mitchell connected on 94% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Topuria ended up connecting on 72% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Topuria landed 51% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 40 of 77. He ended up connecting on 34 of 63 significant strikes aimed at the head. Mitchell ended up connecting on 36 of 82 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 22 of 57 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go, Mitchell landed 46 of 94 and Topuria was 53 of 93 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Cody Brundage encounters Sedriques Dumas. Brundage comes into this fight with a mark of 8-4-0. The 29-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Dumas measures 6'2" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 7-1-0. The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 79". In the grappling category, Cody Brundage takes his opponents down 2.60 times per 3 rds and Sedriques Dumas is able to score a takedown 1.71 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Brundage tags his opponents 2.48 strikes/min and landing 55% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Sedriques Dumas, who is connecting on 46% of the strikes he has attempted and lands an average of 2.50 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Gabriel Santos is set to encounter David Onama. Onama comes into this bout with a mark of 10-2-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 74". Santos stands in at 5'9" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 10-1-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 70". When it comes to takedowns, David Onama is thwarting 45% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents down on 20% of his attempts. Santos is taking his opponents down on 45% of the attempts he tries and is able to stop 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Onama absorbs 5.75 strikes per minute while he dishes out 5.30 strikes/minute. Santos, on the other side, absorbs 6.20 strikes per minute and is dishing out 4.60 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Josh Emmett (+260)

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