Josh Parisian vs Jamal Pogues Pick, 2/18/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 69 Odds

Josh Parisian vs Jamal Pogues

UFC Vegas 69

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, February 18, 2023

Josh Parisian will take on Jamal Pogues at UFC Vegas 69 on Saturday, February 18, 2023. The opening line has Parisian priced at +195 while Pogues is priced at -230.

Josh Parisian comes into this bout with a record of 15-5-0. The 33-year-old tips the scales at 265 lbs and measures in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 79". Jamal Pogues stands in at 6'3" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 9-3-0. The 27-year-old has an arm span of 77". When talking about significant strikes, Josh Parisian is connecting on 4.97 per min while Jamal Pogues is connecting on 3.93 significant strikes per minute. Parisian connects on 52% of the significant strikes he attempts and Pogues connects on 47%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, Parisian takes 5.11 significant strikes per min while Pogues takes 4.10. Parisian also deflects 41% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Pogues prevents 54% of the shots thrown in his direction.

In the wrestling category, Josh Parisian is not as efficient of a wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 1.06 times per 15 min. Parisian is finishing his takedown attempts on 30% of his tries and defending 42% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Pogues is taking his opponents to the mat on 53% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 85% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of going for the submission, Parisian is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.3 finishes per 3 rds while Pogues tries 0.6 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Josh Parisian went up against Alan Baudot and wound up getting the win via a punch to the head in round 2. Baudot ended up landing 56 of 82 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Parisian ended the night having landed 102 of 156 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Baudot ended up landing 49 of 75, which means his percentage was 65%. He finished the fight landing 34 of 59 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Parisian landed 61% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 42 of 68. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 27 of 53 pointed at the head. 46% of the significant strikes landed by Baudot and 52% of them landed by Parisian were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Jamal Pogues, he battled Paulo Renato Junior and wound up taking home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Junior landed 98% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Pogues ended up landing 98% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Pogues landed 38% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 69 of 180. He ended up landing 62 of 172 significant strikes to the head. Junior ended up landing 77 of 165 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 24 of 85 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Junior connected on 79 of 168 while Pogues was 71 of 182 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when William Knight squares up against Marcin Prachnio. Knight walks into the cage holding a mark of 11-4-0. The 34-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 73". Prachnio measures 6'3" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 15-6-0. The 34-year-old reaches 74". In terms of takedowns, William Knight takes his opponents down 2.07 times per 3 rds and Marcin Prachnio gets a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Knight is connecting on 2.95 strikes/min and is connecting on 59% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Marcin Prachnio, who lands 54% of the strikes he attempts and lands 5.84 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Alexander Hernandez is set to fight Jim Miller. Miller will be looking to add a win to his career record of 35-16-0 (1 NC). The 39-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and stands 5'8". The southpaw fighter reaches 71". Hernandez stands 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 13-6-0. The 30-year-old stretches 72". Concerning wrestling, Jim Miller is able to thwart 47% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown attempts on 43% of his tries. Hernandez is finishing his takedowns on 33% of the attempts he tries and prevents 61% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Miller is taking 2.93 strikes/minute while he deals 2.79 per min. Hernandez, notwithstanding, takes 4.54 strikes per min and dishes out 4.09 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Jamal Pogues (-230)

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