Kevin Lee vs Rinat Fakhretdinov Pick, 7/1/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 76 Odds

Kevin Lee vs Rinat Fakhretdinov

UFC Vegas 76

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 1, 2023

Kevin Lee will battle Rinat Fakhretdinov at UFC Vegas 76 on Saturday, July 1, 2023. The opener has Lee coming in at +175 while Fakhretdinov is at -250.

Kevin "The Motown Phenom" Lee steps into the cage holding a record of 18-7-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 77". Rinat "Gladiator" Fakhretdinov stands in at 6'0" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 20-1-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 74". In the category of significant strikes, Kevin Lee is connecting on 3.89 per minute while Rinat Fakhretdinov is landing 2.93 significant strikes per minute. Lee is landing 42% of the significant strikes he throws while Fakhretdinov is connecting on 68%. In terms of defending themselves, "The Motown Phenom" absorbs 3.56 significant strikes per minute while "Gladiator" absorbs 0.70. Lee also stops 50% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Fakhretdinov thwarts 57% of the shots thrown in his direction.

When it comes to wrestling, Kevin Lee is not as effective of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 3.19 times per 15 min. Lee is taking his opponents to the canvas on 43% of the times he tries and is stopping 75% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Fakhretdinov is taking his opponents down on 63% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 85% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Lee is the more skilled fighter by going for 0.8 submissions per 15 minutes while Fakhretdinov goes for 0.5 submissions per 15 min.

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The last time he fought, Kevin Lee squared up with Daniel Rodriguez and wound up walking away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Rodriguez landed 137 of 229 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Lee walked away from this fight having landed 74 of 181 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Rodriguez ended up landing 120 of 210, which means his percentage was 57%. He landed 87 of 175 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Lee ended up landing 35% of his significant strikes by landing 56 of 160. Of those significant strikes, he landed 39 of 134 pointed at the head. 94% of the significant strikes connected on by Rodriguez and 98% of them landed by Lee were done at distance.

In the last bout for Rinat Fakhretdinov, he squared up with Bryan Battle and wound up getting the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Battle landed 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Fakhretdinov connected on 18% of his significant strikes at distance. Fakhretdinov landed 63% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 43 of 68. He landed 38 of 62 significant strikes to the head. Battle connected on 3 of 16 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 1 of 11 to the head. Regarding the strikes he fired off in this contest, Battle landed 25 of 42 while Fakhretdinov ended up connecting on 102 of 149 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Guram Kutateladze enters the Octagon with Elves Brener. Kutateladze looks to add a victory to his career record of 12-3-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Brener measures 5'10" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 14-3-0. The 25-year-old reaches 72". In the grappling category, Guram Kutateladze gets a takedown 0.50 times per 15 min and Elves Brener is able to score a takedown 0.30 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Kutateladze lands 3.83 strikes per minute and is connecting on 42% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Elves Brener, who lands 43% of the strikes he has tried and lands 4.60 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Blagoy Ivanov is set to square up against Alexandr Romanov. Romanov has a mark of 16-2-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 262 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 75". Ivanov measures 5'11" and is weighing in at 250 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 19-5-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old has a wingspan of 73". When it comes to takedowns, Alexandr Romanov stops 20% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown tries on 52% of his tries. Ivanov is finishing his takedowns on 40% of his attempts and is able to deflect 70% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Romanov takes 2.00 strikes/minute while he is dishing out 3.62 per minute. Ivanov, moreover, is taking 4.01 strikes per minute and is dishing out 3.29 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Kevin Lee (+175)

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