Mateusz Gamrot vs Jalin Turner Pick, 3/4/2023 Predictions UFC 285 Odds

Mateusz Gamrot vs Jalin Turner

UFC 285

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 4, 2023

Mateusz Gamrot will take on Jalin Turner at UFC 285 on Saturday, March 4, 2023. The odds have Gamrot priced at -170 while Turner is priced at +145.

Mateusz "Gamer" Gamrot looks to add a victory to his career record of 21-2-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter reaches 70". Jalin "The Tarantula" Turner comes in at 6'3" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 13-5-0. The 27-year-old reaches 77". Concerning significant strikes, Mateusz Gamrot is landing 3.26 per min while Jalin Turner lands 6.48 significant strikes per minute. Gamrot connects on 49% of the significant strikes he attempts while Turner is landing 47%. In terms of defending themselves, "Gamer" takes 3.34 significant strikes per min while "The Tarantula" takes 4.31. Gamrot also thwarts 61% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Turner is able to thwart 44% of them.

Concerning grappling, Mateusz Gamrot is the more competent wrestler as he takes his opponents down 4.66 times per 3 rds. Gamrot is taking his opponents to the canvas on 31% of the times he tries and is stuffing 90% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Turner is getting his opponent to the mat on 80% of his takedown tries and is defending 77% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Gamrot is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.2 subs per 15 minutes while Turner tries 2.0 subs per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Mateusz Gamrot fought Beneil Dariush and wound up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Dariush ended up landing 67 of 138 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Gamrot ended the night having landed 38 of 86 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Dariush landed 59 of 130, which means his percentage was 45%. He finished the fight landing 35 of 100 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Gamrot ended up landing 40% of his significant strikes by landing 33 of 81. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 22 of 67 aimed at the head. 88% of the significant strikes landed by Dariush and 87% of them connected on by Gamrot were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Jalin Turner, he went up against Brad Riddell and wound up taking home the victory by way of guillotine choke in round 1. Riddell landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Turner connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Turner landed 60% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 3 of 5. He connected on 1 of 2 significant strikes to the head. Riddell connected on 2 of 3 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 0 of 1 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Riddell landed 2 of 3 while Turner landed 3 of 5 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Bo Nickal takes on Jamie Pickett. Nickal will be looking to add a win to his career total of 3-0-0. The 27-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and stands 6'1". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 76". Pickett stands 6'2" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 13-8-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 80". Regarding grappling, Bo Nickal is averaging a takedown 23.68 times per 3 rds and Jamie Pickett scores a takedown 1.39 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Nickal tags his opponents 3.68 strikes per min and is landing 70% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Jamie Pickett, who lands 50% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 3.25 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Trevin Jones is set to clash with Cody Garbrandt. Garbrandt comes into this fight with a record of 12-5-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 65". Jones comes in at 5'7" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 13-9-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old has a reach of 70". In the category of takedowns, Cody Garbrandt is able to stop 83% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is getting his opponent to the mat on 30% of his attempts. Jones is finishing his takedown tries on 11% of the tries he takes and deflects 66% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Garbrandt absorbs 4.22 strikes/min while he is landing 3.16 per minute. Jones, on the contrary, takes 4.96 strikes/min and is dealing 2.33 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Mateusz Gamrot (-170)

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