Muhammad Mokaev vs Jafel Filho Pick, 3/18/2023 Predictions UFC 286 Odds

Muhammad Mokaev vs Jafel Filho

UFC 286

The O2 in London, England

Saturday, March 18, 2023

Muhammad Mokaev will battle Jafel Filho at UFC 286 on Saturday, March 18, 2023. The opening moneyline has Mokaev coming in at -800 while Filho is at +550.

Muhammad "The Punisher" Mokaev holds a career mark of 9-0-0 (1 NC). The 22-year-old weighs 125 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Jafel "Pastor" Filho measures 5'7" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 14-2-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 68". Regarding significant strikes, Muhammad Mokaev is connecting on 1.15 per min while Jafel Filho is connecting on 2.52 significant strikes per minute. Mokaev is connecting on 54% of the significant strikes he throws and Filho connects on 42%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Punisher" absorbs 0.99 significant strikes per min and "Pastor" allows 2.95. Mokaev also defends 53% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Filho deflects 46% of the strikes thrown his way.

In the wrestling category, Muhammad Mokaev is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he scores a takedown 8.88 times per 3 rounds. Mokaev is taking his opponents to the canvas on 54% of his tries and is stopping 15% of all takedowns attempted on him. Filho is finishing his takedown tries on 28% of his takedown attempts and defending 85% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding submission attempts, Mokaev is less likely to go for the finish by trying 1.0 finish per 3 rounds while Filho looks to get 1.3 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Muhammad Mokaev fought Malcolm Gordon and got a win for the night by an armbar in round 3. Gordon landed 38 of 62 total strikes attempted in that fight. Mokaev finished this fight landing 119 of 130 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Gordon landed 17 of 38, which means his percentage was 44%. He landed 15 of 35 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Mokaev landed 70% of his significant strikes by sticking 21 of 30. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 13 of 22 pointed at the head. 29% of the significant strikes landed by Gordon and 42% of them connected on by Mokaev were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Jafel Filho, he faced off with Roybert Echeverria and got a win for the night by a punch to the head in round 3. Echeverria ended up connecting on 55% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Filho ended up connecting on 65% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Filho ended up connecting on 42% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 29 of 68. He landed 18 of 53 significant strikes to the head. Echeverria ended up landing 34 of 64 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 9 of 24 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Echeverria ended up landing 38 of 68 while Filho ended up landing 36 of 81 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Jake Hadley faces off against Malcolm Gordon. Hadley steps into the Octagon holding a record of 9-1-0. The 26-year-old weighs 125 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 70". Gordon measures 5'7" and weighs 125 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 14-6-0. The 32-year-old reaches 71". When it comes to grappling, Jake Hadley scores a takedown 0.49 times per 3 rounds and Malcolm Gordon takes his opponents to the mat 1.66 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Hadley is connecting on 4.02 strikes/minute and is connecting on 48% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Malcolm Gordon, who tags his opponent on 44% of the strikes he has attempted and lands an average of 1.90 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Ludovit Klein is set to square up in the Octagon with Jai Herbert. Herbert has a career record of 12-4-0. The 34-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and measures 6'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 77". Klein measures 5'7" and weighs 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 19-4-0. The 28-year-old reaches 72". Concerning wrestling, Jai Herbert thwarts 55% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his tries. Klein is finishing his takedowns on 33% of the tries he takes and is able to stop 87% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Herbert is taking 2.85 strikes/min while he is landing 2.45 strikes/minute. Klein, moreover, is taking 3.87 strikes per min and is connecting on 3.51 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Muhammad Mokaev (-800)

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