Paul Craig vs Andre Muniz Pick, 7/22/2023 Predictions UFC London Odds

Paul Craig vs Andre Muniz

UFC London

O2 Arena in London, England

Saturday, July 22, 2023

Paul Craig will face off with Andre Muniz at UFC London on Saturday, July 22, 2023. The opening moneyline has Craig at +185 while Muniz is coming in at -225.

Paul "Bearjew" Craig walks into the cage holding a record of 16-6-1. The 35-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Andre "Sergipano" Muniz stands in at 6'1" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 23-5-0. The 33-year-old reaches 78". When talking about significant strikes, Paul Craig connects on 2.44 per minute and Andre Muniz lands 2.12 significant strikes per minute. Craig connects on 46% of the significant strikes he attempts and Muniz lands 49%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "Bearjew" allows 2.88 significant strikes per min while "Sergipano" absorbs 1.74. Craig also curbs 47% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Muniz is able to thwart 54% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

In the grappling category, Paul Craig is not as effective of a grappler as he scores a takedown 1.81 times per 3 rounds. Craig is finishing his takedown attempts on 20% of his tries and stopping 50% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Muniz is taking his opponents to the mat on 36% of his takedown attempts and defending 41% of the attempts against him. When it comes to submissions, Craig is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by attempting 1.7 finishes per 15 minutes while Muniz tries 1.8 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Paul Craig faced Johnny Walker and walked away in defeat by punches to the head in round 1. Walker ended up landing 17 of 21 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Craig walked away from this fight having landed 3 of 8 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Walker landed 16 of 20, which means his percentage was 80%. He ended up landing 12 of 16 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Craig ended up landing 37% of his significant strikes by sticking 3 of 8. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 0 of 3 aimed at the head. 37% of the significant strikes connected on by Walker and 100% of them connected on by Craig were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Andre Muniz, he squared up with Brendan Allen and wound up taking the loss by rear naked choke in round 3. Allen ended up connecting on 95% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Muniz ended up connecting on 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Muniz ended up connecting on 38% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 43 of 112. He ended up connecting on 25 of 88 significant strikes aimed at the head. Allen landed 42 of 102 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 21 of 76 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes thrown in that contest, Allen connected on 64 of 129 and Muniz ended up connecting on 45 of 114 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Jai Herbert squares up against Fares Ziam. Herbert steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 12-4-1. The 35-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 77". Ziam stands 6'1" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 13-4-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 75". In terms of takedowns, Jai Herbert takes his opponents down 0.25 times per 3 rounds while Fares Ziam is able to score a takedown 0.96 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Herbert is landing 2.55 strikes/min and lands 42% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Fares Ziam, who tags his opponent on 44% of the strikes he has thrown and lands 2.52 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Josh Culibao is set to go up against Lerone Murphy. Murphy steps into the cage with a record of 12-0-1. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Culibao measures in at 5'10" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 11-1-1. The 29-year-old has a reach of 73". When it comes to takedowns, Lerone Murphy curbs 43% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedowns on 37% of the times he tries. Culibao is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of the tries he takes and is able to deflect 82% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Murphy is taking 2.64 strikes/min and he lands 3.58 strikes per minute. Culibao, on the other hand, is taking 3.13 strikes per minute and is dishing out 2.96 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Paul Craig (+185)

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