Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili Pick, 3/11/2023 Predictions UFC Las Vegas Odds

Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili

UFC Las Vegas

The Theater at Virgin Hotels in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 11, 2023

Petr Yan will battle Merab Dvalishvili at UFC Las Vegas on Saturday, March 11, 2023. The odds have Yan coming in at -250 while Dvalishvili is at +190.

Petr "No Mercy" Yan will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 16-4-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The switch fighter has a reach of 67". Merab "The Machine" Dvalishvili stands 5'6" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 15-4-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 68". Concerning significant strikes, Petr Yan is landing 5.31 per min while Merab Dvalishvili is connecting on 4.21 significant strikes per minute. Yan lands 53% of the significant strikes he tries and Dvalishvili connects on 40%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "No Mercy" absorbs 4.03 significant strikes per min while "The Machine" allows 2.31. Yan also stops 59% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Dvalishvili thwarts 58% of the shots thrown.

In terms of wrestling, Petr Yan is the lesser skilled wrestler as he gets a takedown 1.86 times per 3 rds. Yan is finishing his takedown attempts on 56% of his tries and stopping 90% of the tries against him. Dvalishvili is taking his opponents to the mat on 40% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 78% of the tries against him. When it comes to submissions, Yan is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 0.2 finishes per 15 min while Dvalishvili tries 0.3 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Petr Yan fought Sean O'Malley and wound up losing the fight via split decision in round 3. O'Malley ended up landing 91 of 171 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Yan finished this fight landing 97 of 139 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, O'Malley landed 84 of 163, which gave him a rate of 51%. He landed 63 of 132 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Yan landed 60% of his significant strikes by landing 58 of 96. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 24 of 57 to the head. 95% of the significant strikes connected on by O'Malley and 81% of them landed by Yan were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Merab Dvalishvili, he fought Jose Aldo and wound up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Aldo connected on 92% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Dvalishvili ended up connecting on 75% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Dvalishvili landed 38% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 57 of 147. He ended up connecting on 20 of 102 significant strikes directed at the head. Aldo ended up connecting on 38 of 67 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 11 of 35 to the head. In relation to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Aldo ended up connecting on 59 of 92 while Dvalishvili connected on 135 of 230 total strikes.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Alexander Volkov takes on Alexandr Romanov. Volkov looks to add a victory to his record of 35-10-0. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 250 lbs and stands 6'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 80". Romanov comes in at 6'2" and is fighting at 262 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 16-1-0. The 32-year-old reaches 75". Regarding grappling, Alexander Volkov takes his opponents down 0.51 times per 15 minutes and Alexandr Romanov is able to score a takedown 5.18 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Volkov lands an average of 4.88 strikes per min and is landing 57% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Alexandr Romanov, who is landing 50% of his attempted strikes and lands an average of 3.78 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Ryan Spann is set to go up against Nikita Krylov. Krylov steps into the Octagon with a record of 29-9-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 77". Spann stands in at 6'5" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 21-7-0. The 31-year-old stretches 79". Concerning wrestling, Nikita Krylov is stopping 53% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedowns on 35% of his tries. Spann is finishing his takedown tries on 35% of his tries and deflects 50% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Krylov takes 2.50 strikes per min and he is landing 4.45 per minute. Spann, moreover, takes 3.42 strikes/min and connects on 3.42 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Petr Yan (-250)

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