Philipe Lins vs Maxim Grishin Pick, 6/3/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 74 Odds

Philipe Lins vs Maxim Grishin

UFC Vegas 74

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, June 3, 2023

Philipe Lins will take on Maxim Grishin at UFC Vegas 74 on Saturday, June 3, 2023. The opening odds have Lins coming in at +120 while Grishin is priced at -145.

Philipe "Monstro" Lins walks into the Octagon holding a record of 16-5-0. The 37-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78". Maxim "Maximus" Grishin comes in at 6'3" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 32-9-2. The 39-year-old stretches 78". When talking about significant strikes, Philipe Lins is connecting on 3.85 per min and Maxim Grishin is connecting on 3.40 significant strikes per minute. Lins is landing 47% of the significant strikes he attempts and Grishin connects on 52%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "Monstro" absorbs 4.18 significant strikes per min and "Maximus" absorbs 2.07. Lins also defends against 43% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Grishin thwarts 59% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

Regarding takedowns, Philipe Lins is the more effective grappler as he is able to score a takedown 1.79 times per 15 min. Lins is finishing his takedown attempts on 36% of his tries and stuffing 100% of all takedowns attempted on him. Grishin is taking his opponents to the mat on 33% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 66% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Lins is the more experienced of the two fighters by going for 1.0 submission per 15 min while Grishin attempts 0.7 subs per 3 rds.

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In his last bout, Philipe Lins went up against Ovince Saint Preux and ended up winning this fight by a punch to the head in round 1. Preux landed 1 of 3 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Lins ended the night having landed 18 of 44 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Preux ended up landing 1 of 3, giving him a percentage of 33%. He landed 0 of 1 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Lins landed 40% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 18 of 44. Of those significant strikes, he was 17 of 43 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Preux and 72% of them connected on by Lins were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Maxim Grishin, he battled William Knight and ended up winning this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Knight connected on 76% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Grishin ended up landing 89% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Grishin ended up landing 77% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 69 of 89. He connected on 16 of 32 significant strikes directed at the head. Knight connected on 21 of 68 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up connecting on 9 of 39 directed at the head. Discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Knight ended up connecting on 32 of 79 and Grishin ended up connecting on 88 of 112 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Elise Reed squares up against Jinh Yu Frey. Reed will be looking to add a victory to her record of 6-3-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and measures in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 63". Yu Frey stands in at 5'3" and weighs 115 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 11-8-0. The 38-year-old extends her reach 65". When it comes to grappling, Elise Reed takes her opponents to the mat 0.84 times per 15 minutes and Jinh Yu Frey takes her opponents to the canvas 0.61 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Reed connects on 2.79 strikes/minute and landing 52% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Jinh Yu Frey, who connects on 44% of the strikes she attempts and connects on 3.17 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Amir Albazi is set to enter the Octagon against Kai Kara-France. Kara-France steps into the cage holding a mark of 24-10-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and comes in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Albazi comes in at 5'5" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 16-1-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 68". Concerning grappling, Kai Kara-France prevents 87% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown attempts on 25% of his tries. Albazi is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of the tries he takes and thwarts 66% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Kara-France is absorbing 3.57 strikes/minute while he is landing 4.70 strikes per min. Albazi, at the same time, is absorbing 2.47 strikes/minute and deals 3.54 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Maxim Grishin (-145)

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