Warlley Alves vs Nicolas Dalby Pick, 1/21/2023 Predictions UFC 283 Odds

Warlley Alves vs Nicolas Dalby

UFC 283

Jeunesse Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Saturday, January 21, 2023

Warlley Alves will face off with Nicolas Dalby at UFC 283 on Saturday, January 21, 2023. The line has Alves coming in at -125 while Dalby is at +105.

Warlley Alves Alves comes into this bout with a mark of 15-5-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 72". Nicolas "Danish Dynamite" Dalby stands in at 5'11" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 20-4-1 (2 NC). The 38-year-old extends his reach 74". When talking about significant strikes, Warlley Alves is landing 3.07 per minute while Nicolas Dalby connects on 3.22 significant strikes per minute. Alves connects on 48% of the significant strikes he throws while Dalby lands 39%. In terms of defending in the cage, Alves takes 3.63 significant strikes per min while "Danish Dynamite" absorbs 3.22. Alves also defends against 51% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Dalby is able to defend against 53% of the shots thrown.

In terms of grappling, Warlley Alves is the more skilled wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 1.42 times per 3 rds. Alves is getting his opponent to the mat on 52% of his tries and is stuffing 78% of the takedowns his opponents try. Dalby is taking his opponents down on 31% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 65% of the attempts against him. Regarding submission attempts, Alves is the more skilled fighter by attempting 1.1 subs per 15 minutes while Dalby looks to get 0.1 subs per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Warlley Alves squared up with Jeremiah Wells and ended up walking away in defeat via a punch to the head in round 2. Wells landed 29 of 62 total strikes that he let go. Alves finished this fight landing 15 of 17 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Wells landed 21 of 52, which means his percentage was 40%. He landed 17 of 48 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Alves landed 88% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 15 of 17. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 1 of 2 aimed at the head. 57% of the significant strikes connected on by Wells and 66% of them connected on by Alves were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Nicolas Dalby, he squared up with Claudio Silva and wound up taking home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Silva landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Dalby ended up landing 46% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Dalby landed 47% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 45 of 94. He ended up landing 32 of 78 significant strikes aimed at the head. Silva landed 11 of 21 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 4 of 13 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes thrown in that contest, Silva ended up connecting on 46 of 59 while Dalby was 61 of 114 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Saimon Oliveira squares up against Daniel Marcos. Oliveira comes into this fight holding a mark of 18-4-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Marcos comes in at 5'7" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 13-0-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 69". When it comes to grappling, Saimon Oliveira gets a takedown 1.50 times per 3 rds and Daniel Marcos is able to score a takedown 0.70 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Oliveira connects for an average of 2.73 strikes/minute and connects on 44% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Daniel Marcos, who connects on 47% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 5.40 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Zarah Fairn is set to square up in the Octagon against Josiane Nunes. Nunes walks into the cage with a record of 9-1-0. The 29-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands in at 5'2". The southpaw fighter stretches 67". Fairn stands in at 5'8" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to her total of 6-4-0. The 39-year-old extends her reach 72". When it comes to takedowns, Josiane Nunes is stopping 70% of her opponents takedown tries and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 10% of her tries. Fairn is taking her opponents down on 10% of her tries and prevents 50% of all takedown tries against her. With regard to striking, Nunes is absorbing 4.37 strikes/minute while she is landing 7.54 strikes per minute. Fairn, in contrast, absorbs 6.61 strikes/min and lands 1.98 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Nicolas Dalby (+105)

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