Alex Pereira vs Jamahal Hill Pick, 4/13/2024 Predictions UFC 300 Odds

Alex Pereira vs Jamahal Hill

UFC 300

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, April 13, 2024

Alex Pereira will enter the Octagon with Jamahal Hill at UFC 300 on Saturday, April 13, 2024. The odds have Pereira priced at -125 while Hill is priced at +105.

Alex "Poatan" Pereira steps into the cage with a record of 9-2-0. The 36-year-old weighs 205 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 79". Jamahal "Sweet Dreams" Hill measures 6'4" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a record of 12-1-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old reaches 79". Regarding significant strikes, Alex Pereira lands 5.00 per min and Jamahal Hill is landing 7.31 significant strikes per min. Pereira lands 62% of the significant strikes he tries while Hill is landing 54%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Poatan" absorbs 3.65 significant strikes per min while "Sweet Dreams" absorbs 3.35. Pereira also deflects 50% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Hill is able to defend against 47% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

Regarding takedowns, Alex Pereira is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.19 times per 15 minutes. Pereira is getting his opponent to the mat on 85% of his tries and stuffing 70% of the takedowns his opponents try. Hill is taking his opponents down on 15% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 73% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of going for the submission, Pereira is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 0.4 finishes per 15 min while Hill looks to get 0.2 finishes per 15 min.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Alex Pereira faced Jiri Prochazka and wound up getting the win by an elbow to the head in round 2. Prochazka landed 44 of 70 total strikes attempted in that contest. Pereira walked away from this fight having landed 49 of 72 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Prochazka landed 30 of 53, which gave him a percentage of 56%. He finished the fight landing 18 of 37 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Pereira landed 62% of his significant strikes by landing 38 of 61. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 21 of 38 aimed at the head. 86% of the significant strikes connected on by Prochazka and 57% of them landed by Pereira were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Jamahal Hill, he went up against Glover Teixeira and ended up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 5. Teixeira ended up connecting on 86% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Hill ended up connecting on 81% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Hill ended up connecting on 57% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 232 of 402. He connected on 180 of 343 significant strikes aimed at the head. Teixeira ended up connecting on 75 of 160 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 52 of 136 to the head. Regarding the total strikes thrown in this fight, Teixeira ended up landing 108 of 196 and Hill ended up landing 248 of 419 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Justin Gaethje enters the Octagon against Max Holloway. Gaethje looks to add a victory to his record of 25-4-0. The 35-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 70". Holloway measures 5'11" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 25-7-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 69". Regarding grappling, Justin Gaethje is able to score a takedown 0.13 times per 3 rounds and Max Holloway takes his opponents down 0.27 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Gaethje tags his opponents 7.35 strikes/min and is connecting on 60% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Max Holloway, who is connecting on 47% of his attempted strikes and lands 7.17 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Arman Tsarukyan is set to encounter Charles Oliveira. Oliveira looks to add a win to his total of 34-9-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 74". Tsarukyan stands 5'7" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 21-3-0. The 27-year-old stretches 72". When it comes to takedowns, Charles Oliveira curbs 55% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents down on 40% of the times he tries. Tsarukyan is finishing his takedown tries on 36% of his tries and defends against 75% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Oliveira is taking 3.19 strikes/minute and he deals 3.54 strikes/minute. Tsarukyan, on the other side, is absorbing 1.91 strikes per min and is dishing out 3.85 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Alex Pereira (-125)

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