Ismael Bonfim vs Vinc Pichel Pick, 5/4/2024 Predictions UFC 301 Odds

Ismael Bonfim vs Vinc Pichel

UFC 301

Farmasi Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Saturday, May 4, 2024

Ismael Bonfim will battle Vinc Pichel at UFC 301 on Saturday, May 4, 2024. The opening odds have Bonfim priced at -520 while Pichel is priced at +390.

Ismael "Marreta" Bonfim steps into the cage with a record of 19-4-0. The 28-year-old weighs 155 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Vinc "From Hell" Pichel comes in at 5'10" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 14-3-0. The 41-year-old extends his reach 72". When talking about significant strikes, Ismael Bonfim connects on 4.91 per minute while Vinc Pichel lands 3.56 significant strikes per minute. Bonfim is landing 57% of the significant strikes he tries and Pichel lands 47%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Marreta" allows 2.66 significant strikes per minute while "From Hell" absorbs 2.50. Bonfim also defends against 76% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Pichel prevents 58% of the shots thrown his way.

Concerning grappling, Ismael Bonfim is not as effective of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.11 times per 15 minutes. Bonfim is taking his opponents to the canvas on 28% of his attempts and stopping 81% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Pichel is finishing his takedowns on 54% of his takedown tries and stuffing 23% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Bonfim is the more able fighter by going for 0.6 subs per 15 min while Pichel tries 0.2 subs per 3 rds.

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In his last fight, Ismael Bonfim squared up with Benoit Saint Denis and took a loss on the night by way of rear naked choke in round 1. Denis landed 35 of 58 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Bonfim finished this fight landing 15 of 26 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Denis landed 13 of 33, which means his percentage was 39%. He ended up landing 3 of 18 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Bonfim ended up landing 58% of his significant strikes by landing 14 of 24. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 9 of 19 pointed at the head. 84% of the significant strikes connected on by Denis and 57% of them connected on by Bonfim were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Vinc Pichel, he fought Mark Madsen and ended up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Madsen connected on 82% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Pichel landed 77% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Pichel connected on 55% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 68 of 123. He landed 32 of 78 significant strikes directed at the head. Madsen ended up connecting on 39 of 87 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 27 of 75 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that fight, Madsen landed 57 of 110 and Pichel landed 88 of 144 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Alessandro Costa goes up against Kevin Borjas. Costa has a career record of 13-4-0. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and stands 5'4". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 67". Borjas measures in at 5'5" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 9-2-0. The 26-year-old stretches 68". In the grappling category, Alessandro Costa takes his opponents to the canvas 0.31 times per 15 minutes while Kevin Borjas takes his opponents down 0.00 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Costa connects for an average of 3.75 strikes/min and connects on 46% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Kevin Borjas, who lands 41% of the strikes that he throws and lands 5.40 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Iasmin Lucindo is set to square up against Karolina Kowalkiewicz. Kowalkiewicz will be looking to add a victory to her career total of 16-7-0. The 38-year-old records a weight of 115 lbs and measures in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 64". Lucindo stands in at 5'3" and is weighing in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 15-5-0. The 22-year-old stretches 66". When it comes to takedowns, Karolina Kowalkiewicz is preventing 74% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 26% of her tries. Lucindo is finishing her takedown tries on 66% of her tries and is able to thwart 66% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Kowalkiewicz takes 5.55 strikes per minute and she is dealing 5.92 per min. Lucindo, on the other hand, is absorbing 3.23 strikes per minute and dishes out 3.33 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Vinc Pichel (+390)

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