Jessica Andrade vs Marina Rodriguez Pick, 4/13/2024 Predictions UFC 300 Odds

Jessica Andrade vs Marina Rodriguez

UFC 300

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, April 13, 2024

Jessica Andrade will face off with Marina Rodriguez at UFC 300 on Saturday, April 13, 2024. The opening line has Andrade at -135 while Rodriguez is priced at +114.

Jessica "Bate Estaca" Andrade comes into this fight with a mark of 25-12-0. The 32-year-old weighs 115 lbs and comes in at 5'1". The orthodox fighter stretches 62". Marina Rodriguez measures 5'6" and is weighing in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 17-3-2. The 36-year-old reaches 65". In terms of significant strikes, Jessica Andrade is landing 6.67 per minute and Marina Rodriguez is connecting on 4.77 significant strikes per min. Andrade is landing 50% of the significant strikes she attempts and Rodriguez is landing 48%. In terms of defending in the cage, "Bate Estaca" takes 5.36 significant strikes per minute while Rodriguez absorbs 2.89. Andrade also prevents 54% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Rodriguez is able to stop 56% of the shots thrown in her direction.

Regarding wrestling, Jessica Andrade is the more competent wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 2.45 times per 15 minutes. Andrade is finishing her takedown attempts on 54% of her tries and stopping 72% of the takedowns her opponents try. Rodriguez is getting her opponent to the mat on 42% of the takedowns she tries and is stuffing 66% of the attempts against her. In terms of going for the submission, Andrade is the more skilled fighter by trying 0.4 submissions per 3 rds while Rodriguez tries 0.2 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In her previous fight, Jessica Andrade faced Yan Xiaonan and ended up losing the fight by a punch to the head in round 1. Xiaonan ended up landing 26 of 36 total strikes that she let go. Andrade walked away from this fight having landed 12 of 32 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Xiaonan landed 26 of 36, which means her percentage was 72%. She ended up landing 12 of 22 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Andrade landed 37% of her significant strikes by sticking 12 of 32. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she landed 5 of 23 pointed at the head. 88% of the significant strikes landed by Xiaonan and 100% of them landed by Andrade were thrown at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Marina Rodriguez, she fought Michelle Waterson-Gomez and took home the victory by way of punches to the head from the mount position in round 2. Waterson-Gomez ended up landing 30% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance while Rodriguez ended up landing 17% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Rodriguez landed 68% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 70 of 102. She ended up landing 47 of 70 significant strikes directed at the head. Waterson-Gomez landed 13 of 32 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, she connected on 7 of 23 to the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that fight, Waterson-Gomez connected on 16 of 37 and Rodriguez was 90 of 130 of all the strikes she threw.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Alex Pereira takes on Jamahal Hill. Pereira steps into the cage with a record of 9-2-0. The 36-year-old weighs 205 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 79". Hill measures 6'4" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a record of 12-1-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old reaches 79". In the grappling category, Alex Pereira takes his opponents to the mat 0.19 times per 15 min and Jamahal Hill is averaging a takedown 0.70 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Pereira tags his opponents 5.00 strikes per min and connecting on 62% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Jamahal Hill, who is landing 54% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 7.31 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Max Holloway is set to square up against Justin Gaethje. Gaethje looks to add a victory to his record of 25-4-0. The 35-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 70". Holloway measures 5'11" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 25-7-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 69". Regarding takedowns, Justin Gaethje stops 75% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents to the mat on 25% of the times he tries. Holloway is finishing his takedowns on 53% of his attempts and is able to defend against 84% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Gaethje is taking 7.50 strikes per minute while he deals 7.35 strikes per minute. Holloway, notwithstanding, takes 4.75 strikes/min and connects on 7.17 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Marina Rodriguez (+114)

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