Mauricio Ruffy vs Jamie Mullarkey Pick, 5/4/2024 Predictions UFC 301 Odds

Mauricio Ruffy vs Jamie Mullarkey

UFC 301

Farmasi Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Saturday, May 4, 2024

Mauricio Ruffy will battle Jamie Mullarkey at UFC 301 on Saturday, May 4, 2024. The opening moneyline has Ruffy coming in at -205 while Mullarkey is coming in at +170.

Mauricio Ruffy walks into the cage holding a mark of 9-1-0. The 27-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Jamie Mullarkey measures in at 6'0" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 17-7-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach 74". When talking about significant strikes, Mauricio Ruffy lands 4.75 per min and Jamie Mullarkey connects on 4.46 significant strikes per minute. Ruffy is landing 58% of the significant strikes he attempts while Mullarkey connects on 46%. In terms of defending themselves, Ruffy allows 4.07 significant strikes per minute while Mullarkey takes 4.49. Ruffy also thwarts 58% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Mullarkey deflects 54% of the shots thrown.

In the wrestling category, Mauricio Ruffy is not as effective of a wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.00 times per 15 min. Ruffy is taking his opponents to the canvas on 0% of his attempts and thwarting 100% of all takedown attempts. Mullarkey is finishing his takedown tries on 34% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 76% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Ruffy is the more capable of the two fighters by going for 0.6 submissions per 15 min while Mullarkey tries 0.1 submissions per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Mauricio Ruffy squared up with Raimond Magomedaliev and ended up getting the win by way of a punch to the head in round 3. Magomedaliev landed 75 of 158 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Ruffy finished this fight landing 74 of 124 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Magomedaliev ended up landing 60 of 143, which gave him a rate of 41%. He ended up landing 18 of 91 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Ruffy ended up landing 58% of his significant strikes by sticking 70 of 120. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 47 of 90 aimed at the head. 86% of the significant strikes connected on by Magomedaliev and 74% of them landed by Ruffy were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Jamie Mullarkey, he fought Nasrat Haqparast and was defeated by a punch to the head in round 1. Haqparast ended up connecting on 25% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Mullarkey connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Mullarkey ended up landing 34% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 8 of 23. He connected on 3 of 16 significant strikes directed at the head. Haqparast connected on 16 of 29 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 14 of 27 directed at the head. When discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Haqparast ended up landing 18 of 31 while Mullarkey landed 8 of 23 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Ismael Bonfim opposes Vinc Pichel. Bonfim steps into the cage with a record of 19-4-0. The 28-year-old weighs 155 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Pichel comes in at 5'10" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 14-3-0. The 41-year-old extends his reach 72". When it comes to grappling, Ismael Bonfim takes his opponents to the canvas 1.11 times per 3 rounds while Vinc Pichel scores a takedown 3.00 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Bonfim lands an average of 4.91 strikes/min and connects on 57% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Vinc Pichel, who tags his opponent on 47% of the strikes he has attempted and lands an average of 3.56 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Kevin Borjas is set to square up with Alessandro Costa. Costa has a career record of 13-4-0. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and stands 5'4". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 67". Borjas measures in at 5'5" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 9-2-0. The 26-year-old stretches 68". In the category of takedowns, Alessandro Costa stops 90% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is getting his opponent to the mat on 16% of his tries. Borjas is finishing his takedown tries on 0% of his tries and is able to thwart 56% of the takedowns his opponents try. With regard to striking, Costa takes 3.61 strikes/min and he dishes out 3.75 strikes/min. Borjas, on the other side, is absorbing 6.63 strikes/minute and dishes out 5.40 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Mauricio Ruffy (-205)

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