Sean Strickland vs Paulo Costa Pick, 6/1/2024 Predictions UFC 302 Odds

Sean Strickland vs Paulo Costa

UFC 302

Prudential Center in Newark, NJ

Saturday, June 1, 2024

Sean Strickland will take on Paulo Costa at UFC 302 on Saturday, June 1, 2024. The opening line has Strickland coming in at -245 while Costa is at +200.

Sean Strickland will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 28-6-0. The 33-year-old weighs 185 lbs and measures 6'1". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 76". Paulo "The Eraser" Costa stands in at 6'1" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 14-3-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 72". Regarding significant strikes, Sean Strickland lands 5.91 per min while Paulo Costa lands 6.20 significant strikes per min. Strickland lands 41% of the significant strikes he throws and Costa is connecting on 58%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, Strickland absorbs 4.33 significant strikes per minute and "The Eraser" takes 6.38. Strickland also stops 62% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Costa defends against 47% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

Regarding takedowns, Sean Strickland is the better grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.85 times per 15 minutes. Strickland is finishing his takedown attempts on 64% of his tries and defending 77% of all takedown attempts. Costa is scoring a takedown on 75% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 80% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Strickland is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.2 finishes per 3 rounds while Costa attempts 0.7 finishes per 15 min.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Sean Strickland fought Dricus Du Plessis and ended up losing the fight via split decision in round 5. Plessis landed 140 of 358 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Strickland walked away from this fight having landed 183 of 419 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Plessis landed 137 of 354, which gave him a rate of 38%. He landed 81 of 283 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Strickland landed 42% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 173 of 408. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 157 of 387 aimed at the head. 97% of the significant strikes landed by Plessis and 100% of them connected on by Strickland were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Paulo Costa, he battled Robert Whittaker and wound up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Whittaker connected on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Costa ended up landing 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Costa landed 44% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 67 of 151. He ended up landing 39 of 117 significant strikes directed at the head. Whittaker ended up landing 95 of 175 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 63 of 143 to the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Whittaker was 95 of 175 while Costa ended up landing 67 of 151 total strikes.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Kevin Holland squares up against Michal Oleksiejczuk. Holland has a career record of 25-11-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 81". Oleksiejczuk comes in at 6'0" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 19-7-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old extends his reach 74". Regarding grappling, Kevin Holland is able to score a takedown 0.85 times per 3 rds while Michal Oleksiejczuk is averaging a takedown 0.75 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Holland lands an average of 4.24 strikes per minute and is landing 49% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Michal Oleksiejczuk, who lands 50% of his attempted strikes and connects on 5.06 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Alexandr Romanov is set to square up in the Octagon against Jailton Almeida. Almeida comes into this bout holding a record of 20-3-0. The 32-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 79". Romanov measures in at 6'2" and steps on the scale at 262 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a career mark of 17-2-0. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 75". Concerning wrestling, Jailton Almeida is able to thwart 75% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedowns on 59% of his attempts. Romanov is taking his opponents down on 54% of his tries and is able to curb 20% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Almeida absorbs 0.74 strikes per minute and he is connecting on 2.54 per min. Romanov, moreover, absorbs 2.20 strikes/minute and deals 4.06 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Paulo Costa (+200)

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